NTNX · NASDAQ · STOCK
Nutanix (NTNX) Stock Analysis
$65.68
52W $34.01 – $82.42
52/100
$18.00B
65.3
0.60
Is NTNX Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Nutanix (NTNX) Watch with a composite score of 52/100
, based on 6 analysts with 33% agreement.
Last updated August 18, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +7.67 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -12.33 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Value Analyst remains cautious — p/e of 64.2 is expensive by classic value standards. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- EPS growing 117775.0% YoY — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.40 across 15 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 64.2 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 22.6x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- ROE of only -321.3% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 2.46 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- RSI at 75 is in overbought territory — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 18, 2026
Overall Committee Score
52/100
Agreement
33%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 96%
of 284 Technology peers
Value Analyst
bearish
29
/ 100 · High confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 64.2 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 117775.0% YoY
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− RSI at 75 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 2.46) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
neutral
53
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.40 across 15 articles, 14d)
− Negative filing: Costs associated with exit or disposal (restructuring) (13d ago)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2963.04)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 52.3 to 52.3.
Comparing 2026-08-17 to 2026-08-18 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
74.5
Overbought
MACD Histogram
0.548
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$62.41
Resistance
$66.99
Bollinger %B
0.88
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$64.00
Above
EMA 21
$60.68
Above
EMA 50
$55.93
Above
EMA 200
$52.61
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
67
Growth
51
Profitability
52
Financial Health
91
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
65.3×
P/B Ratio
-24.41×
PEG Ratio
0.03
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$82.42
52W Low
$34.01
Quality & Growth
ROE
-2712.2%
ROA
573.7%
Gross Margin
8709.9%
Operating Margin
873.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
-2.11
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 65.3 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of -24.4x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -27.1%; Return on assets of 5.7%; Net margin of 10.0%; Gross margin of 87.1%; Current ratio of 1.78 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of -2.11; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.90); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 28.6%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+36.6% -> -16.1% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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