NTNX · NASDAQ · STOCK
Nutanix (NTNX) Stock Analysis
$70.05
52W $34.01 – $78.45
57/100
$18.87B
12.5
0.62
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is NTNX Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Nutanix (NTNX) Buy with a composite score of 57/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated September 22, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +17.51 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -2.49 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — eps growing 705.5% yoy. Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 2.46) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 12.6 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- EPS growing 705.5% YoY — Growth
- 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 22.6x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- ROE of only -321.3% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 2.46 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Weekly RSI at 77 -- overbought on the larger timeframe too — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 2.46) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 22, 2026
Overall Committee Score
57/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 61%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst
neutral
44
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ P/E of 12.6 is inexpensive for the broad market
− Price-to-book of 22.6x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
79
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 705.5% YoY
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
30
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 2.46) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 15 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2517.06)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 57.5 to 57.5.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-09-21 to 2026-09-22 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
68.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.105
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$62.41
Resistance
$72.54
Bollinger %B
0.89
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$68.34
Above
EMA 21
$67.10
Above
EMA 50
$63.11
Above
EMA 200
$55.77
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
67
Growth
94
Profitability
100
Financial Health
50
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
12.5×
P/B Ratio
26.88×
PEG Ratio
0.02
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$78.45
52W Low
$34.01
Quality & Growth
ROE
21447.6%
ROA
2969.9%
Gross Margin
8680.1%
Operating Margin
977.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
2.16
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 12.5 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 26.9x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 214.5%; Return on assets of 29.7%; Net margin of 52.8%; Gross margin of 86.8%; Current ratio of 1.80 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 2.16; Free cash flow per share is positive (3.11); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 21.2%; 3 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-16.1% -> +27.7% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 62.2%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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