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NXST · NASDAQ · STOCK

Nexstar Media Group

Communication Services Updated August 09, 2026
$193.85
52W $154.47 – $254.30
57/100
$5.92B
34.6
0.89
AI Committee Verdict
Watch
57/100
Conviction: High · 75% agreement · 4 analysts
+5.5%
-7.2%
0.77:1
High

Is NXST Bullish or Bearish?

Mixed. Innellis AI committee rates Nexstar Media Group (NXST) Watch with a composite score of 57/100 , based on 4 analysts with 75% agreement. Last updated August 09, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Buy
Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +2.70 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Reduce
Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -17.30 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The primary driver is market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing). The main limiting factor is growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
  • Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
  • Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
  • News sentiment is positive (+0.17 across 8 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
  • Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of August 09, 2026
Overall Committee Score
57/100
Agreement
75%
Analysts
4
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 58%
of 31 Communication Services peers
Growth Analyst bearish
35 / 100 · Low confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst bullish
61 / 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Macro Analyst bullish
70 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst bullish
63 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.17 across 8 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager neutral
55 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 4 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
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Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score strengthened from 48.5 to 57.3.

Analyst-level changes:
  • Growth Analyst: score 23->35 (+12).
  • Risk Analyst abstained (was bearish at 30).
  • Value Analyst abstained (was neutral at 43).

Comparing 2026-08-08 to 2026-08-09 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
59.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.298
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$179.97
Resistance
$204.56
Bollinger %B
0.78
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$190.86 Above
EMA 21
$187.26 Above
EMA 50
$185.51 Above
EMA 200
$193.32 Above

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
68
Growth
60
Profitability
22
Financial Health
32
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio 34.6×
P/B Ratio 2.62×
PEG Ratio -0.48
Dividend Yield 3.84%
52W High $254.30
52W Low $154.47
Quality & Growth
ROE 528.1%
ROA 99.2%
Gross Margin 3408.8%
Operating Margin 1800.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
Debt / Equity 5.21
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 34.6 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.6x; PEG ratio of -0.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 5.3%; Return on assets of 1.0%; Net margin of 3.2%; Gross margin of 34.1%; Current ratio of 1.56 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 5.21; Free cash flow per share is positive (32.99); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 44.9%; EPS growth decelerating (-23.2% -> -29.1% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 2.9%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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📈 Rating History 💰 Earnings 📰 Recent Events 🔄 What Changed 📖 Thesis Evolution 🔍 Similar Stocks
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