OC · NYSE · STOCK
Owens Corning (OC) Stock Analysis
$126.52
52W $97.53 – $159.91
49/100
$9.79B
-14.9
1.32
Is OC Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Owens Corning (OC) Watch with a composite score of 49/100
, based on 6 analysts with 33% agreement.
Last updated September 22, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +10.86 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -9.14 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 23.9% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 18 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- ROE of only -17.1% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Revenue declining -11.8% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- RSI at 25 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 23.9% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 22, 2026
Overall Committee Score
49/100
Agreement
33%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 83%
of 99 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
42
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− ROE of only -17.1% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− Revenue declining -11.8% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− RSI at 25 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup)
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 23.9% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 18 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2517.06)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 49.1 to 49.1.
Comparing 2026-09-21 to 2026-09-22 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
21.2
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-1.127
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$110.54
Resistance
$130.41
Bollinger %B
0.12
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$127.05
Below
EMA 21
$132.90
Below
EMA 50
$136.81
Below
EMA 200
$131.96
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
94
Growth
74
Profitability
4
Financial Health
40
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-14.9×
P/B Ratio
2.59×
PEG Ratio
0.08
Dividend Yield
2.52%
52W High
$159.91
52W Low
$97.53
Quality & Growth
ROE
-1354.8%
ROA
-402.2%
Gross Margin
2619.1%
Operating Margin
618.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.52
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -14.9 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.6x; PEG ratio of 0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -13.5%; Return on assets of -4.0%; Net margin of -6.8%; Gross margin of 26.2%; Current ratio of 1.16 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.52; Free cash flow per share is positive (6.85); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 24.0%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+10.9% -> +222.1% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -6.7%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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