ODFL · NASDAQ · STOCK
Old Dominion Freight Line
$214.81
52W $126.01 – $252.03
60/100
$45.00B
41.6
1.18
Is ODFL Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL) Buy with a composite score of 60/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated August 09, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +14.76 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -5.24 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is news sentiment is positive (+0.47 across 33 articles, 14d). The main limiting factor is p/e of 41.2 is expensive by classic value standards. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 24.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.01) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.47 across 33 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 41.2 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 7.6x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Revenue declining -0.6% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 15.8% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 09, 2026
Overall Committee Score
60/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 41%
of 158 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
49
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 24.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 41.2 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Revenue declining -0.6% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.01) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 15.8% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
73
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.47 across 33 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 4 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 59.9 to 60.2.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-08-08 to 2026-08-09 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
44.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-1.561
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$212.49
Resistance
$221.53
Bollinger %B
0.26
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$217.31
Below
EMA 21
$221.09
Below
EMA 50
$221.10
Below
EMA 200
$198.30
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
0
Growth
88
Profitability
82
Financial Health
95
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
41.6×
P/B Ratio
9.93×
PEG Ratio
35.64
Dividend Yield
0.53%
52W High
$252.03
52W Low
$126.01
Quality & Growth
ROE
2374.6%
ROA
1832.0%
Gross Margin
3169.8%
Operating Margin
2584.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.00
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 41.6 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 9.9x; PEG ratio of 35.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 23.7%; Return on assets of 18.3%; Net margin of 19.4%; Gross margin of 31.7%; Current ratio of 1.89 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.00; Free cash flow per share is positive (6.83); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 9.0%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+4.6% -> +47.4% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 32.3%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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