OMC · NYSE · STOCK
Omnicom Group (OMC) Stock Analysis
$79.32
52W $66.33 – $89.57
51/100
$21.91B
42.7
0.67
Is OMC Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Omnicom Group (OMC) Watch with a composite score of 51/100
, based on 6 analysts with 33% agreement.
Last updated September 17, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +9.31 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -10.69 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Value Analyst remains cautious — p/e of 55.8 is expensive by classic value standards. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Dividend yield of 3.5% pays you to wait — Value
- Revenue growing 33.1% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
Bear Case
- P/E of 55.8 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- ROE of only 4.4% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- EPS declining -83.3% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Current ratio of 0.93 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
- Bollinger bandwidth of 17.5% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 17, 2026
Overall Committee Score
51/100
Agreement
33%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 90%
of 55 Communication Services peers
Value Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
+ Dividend yield of 3.5% pays you to wait
− P/E of 55.8 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bullish
63
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 33.1% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− EPS declining -83.3% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.93 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2514.55)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 50.7 to 50.7.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-09-16 to 2026-09-17 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
38.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.883
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$74.09
Resistance
$80.03
Bollinger %B
0.18
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$81.26
Below
EMA 21
$82.92
Below
EMA 50
$82.38
Below
EMA 200
$78.85
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
66
Growth
77
Profitability
2
Financial Health
39
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
42.7×
P/B Ratio
1.64×
PEG Ratio
-0.58
Dividend Yield
3.88%
52W High
$89.57
52W Low
$66.33
Quality & Growth
ROE
-45.2%
ROA
-10.0%
Gross Margin
1754.4%
Operating Margin
1392.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.15
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 42.7 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.6x; PEG ratio of -0.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -0.5%; Return on assets of -0.1%; Net margin of 1.7%; Gross margin of 17.5%; Current ratio of 0.92 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.15; Free cash flow per share is positive (11.66); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 1.7%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-26.6% -> +39.5% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 29.3%; Analyst estimates flat over recent quarters
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