PBF · NYSE · STOCK
PBF Energy (PBF) Stock Analysis
$84.29
52W $25.62 – $89.48
64/100
$9.99B
7.3
0.10
Is PBF Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates PBF Energy (PBF) Buy with a composite score of 64/100
, based on 6 analysts with 83% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +11.00 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -9.00 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Value Analyst sees a compelling case — p/e of 7.8 is inexpensive for the broad market. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 7.8 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Price-to-book of 0.6x is a discount to asset value — Value
- ROE of 24.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- Bollinger bandwidth of 28.2% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
64/100
Agreement
83%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 14%
of 93 Energy peers
Value Analyst
bullish
76
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 7.8 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
bullish
75
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
bullish
69
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 28.2% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 34 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 63.1 to 64.0.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 4 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: score 61->69 (+8).
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
60.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.909
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Bollinger %B
0.81
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$82.48
Above
EMA 21
$78.86
Above
EMA 50
$72.97
Above
EMA 200
$54.28
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
88
Profitability
5
Financial Health
72
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
7.3×
P/B Ratio
1.56×
PEG Ratio
0.00
Dividend Yield
1.31%
52W High
$89.48
52W Low
$25.62
Quality & Growth
ROE
-298.0%
ROA
-121.7%
Gross Margin
447.3%
Operating Margin
605.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.39
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 7.3 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.6x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -3.0%; Return on assets of -1.2%; Net margin of 3.9%; Gross margin of 4.5%; Current ratio of 1.33 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.39; Free cash flow per share is positive (6.28); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 47.6%; EPS growth accelerating (-279.6% -> +806.8% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 703.9%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Get the Full PBF Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →