PBR · NYSE · STOCK
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras (PBR) Stock Analysis
$25.63
52W $11.43 – $25.80
64/100
$163.82B
6.0
-0.22
Is PBR Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras (PBR) Buy with a composite score of 64/100
, based on 6 analysts with 83% agreement.
Last updated October 14, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +10.98 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -9.02 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Value Analyst sees a compelling case — p/e of 5.8 is inexpensive for the broad market. Risk Analyst remains cautious — current ratio of 0.71 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 5.8 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Price-to-book of 1.0x is a discount to asset value — Value
- ROE of 30.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 9.4% pays you to wait — Value
- EPS growing 72.4% YoY — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
Bear Case
- RSI at 87 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Weekly RSI at 81 -- overbought on the larger timeframe too — Technical
- Current ratio of 0.71 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
- Bollinger bandwidth of 34.8% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 14, 2026
Overall Committee Score
64/100
Agreement
83%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 18%
of 93 Energy peers
Value Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 5.8 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 72.4% YoY
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− RSI at 87 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.71 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 36 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 66.5 to 64.0.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: score 80->65 (-15).
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: score 30->35 (+5).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-13 to 2026-10-14 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
88.5
Overbought
MACD Histogram
0.363
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Bollinger %B
0.92
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$24.49
Above
EMA 21
$22.97
Above
EMA 50
$21.25
Above
EMA 200
$18.45
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
99
Growth
85
Profitability
90
Financial Health
46
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
6.0×
P/B Ratio
1.69×
PEG Ratio
0.08
Dividend Yield
5.79%
52W High
$25.80
52W Low
$11.43
Quality & Growth
ROE
2597.7%
ROA
882.9%
Gross Margin
4808.8%
Operating Margin
3456.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.76
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 6.0 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.7x; PEG ratio of 0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 26.0%; Return on assets of 8.8%; Net margin of 24.4%; Gross margin of 48.1%; Current ratio of 0.85 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.76; Free cash flow per share is positive (15.11); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 18.5%; EPS growth accelerating (-6.4% -> +134.2% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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