PCAR · NASDAQ · STOCK
PACCAR (PCAR) Stock Analysis
$131.07
52W $92.25 – $139.24
68/100
$68.97B
27.5
0.98
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is PCAR Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates PACCAR Inc. (PCAR) Buy with a composite score of 68/100
, based on 4 analysts with 100% agreement.
Last updated August 24, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +7.07 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -12.93 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is split. Analysts see this stock differently enough that the current rating reflects genuine uncertainty, not a weak signal.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 24, 2026
Overall Committee Score
68/100
Agreement
100%
Analysts
4
Conviction
Unanimous
Sector Rank
Top 4%
of 226 Industrials peers
Growth Analyst
bullish
85
/ 100 · Low confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3069.37)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score strengthened significantly from 51.5 to 67.9.
- Recommendation changed from Watch to Buy.
- Conviction changed from contested to unanimous.
- Committee agreement increased sharply from 50% to 100%.
- Bearish pressure eased: 4 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Growth Analyst.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Risk Analyst, Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: stance bearish->bullish; score 40->85 (+45).
- Risk Analyst abstained (was bearish at 35).
- Value Analyst abstained (was neutral at 48).
Comparing 2026-08-23 to 2026-08-24 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
53.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.773
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$110.61
Resistance
$131.81
Bollinger %B
0.40
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$130.14
Above
EMA 21
$130.13
Above
EMA 50
$127.09
Above
EMA 200
$118.41
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
74
Growth
69
Profitability
40
Financial Health
94
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
27.5×
P/B Ratio
3.40×
PEG Ratio
-1.48
Dividend Yield
2.11%
52W High
$139.24
52W Low
$92.25
Quality & Growth
ROE
1233.3%
ROA
535.9%
Gross Margin
1486.1%
Operating Margin
981.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.72
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 27.5 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.4x; PEG ratio of -1.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 12.3%; Return on assets of 5.4%; Net margin of 9.2%; Gross margin of 14.9%; Current ratio of 3.12 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.72; Free cash flow per share is positive (5.95); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 3.5%; EPS growth accelerating (+8.5% -> +24.3% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 4.4%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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