PRIM · NYSE · STOCK
Primoris Services (PRIM) Stock Analysis
$83.61
52W $65.00 – $205.50
52/100
$4.54B
32.4
1.44
Is PRIM Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Primoris Services Corporation (PRIM) Watch with a composite score of 52/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +7.99 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -12.01 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Growth Analyst remains cautious — eps declining -42.4% yoy despite any revenue growth. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.28) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
Bear Case
- P/E of 32.2 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- EPS declining -42.4% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- RSI at 70 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 20.3% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
52/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 85%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− P/E of 32.2 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bearish
29
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− EPS declining -42.4% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− RSI at 70 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.28) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 20.3% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 52.6 to 52.0.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: score 51->58 (+6).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: score 58->48 (-10); +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
70.0
Overbought
MACD Histogram
1.254
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$65.08
Resistance
$138.17
Bollinger %B
0.91
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$80.51
Above
EMA 21
$78.35
Above
EMA 50
$80.65
Above
EMA 200
$102.87
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
70
Growth
25
Profitability
38
Financial Health
61
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
32.4×
P/B Ratio
2.81×
PEG Ratio
-0.77
Dividend Yield
0.38%
52W High
$205.50
52W Low
$65.00
Quality & Growth
ROE
1635.3%
ROA
623.7%
Gross Margin
861.9%
Operating Margin
298.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.69
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 32.4 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.8x; PEG ratio of -0.8 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 16.4%; Return on assets of 6.2%; Net margin of 1.9%; Gross margin of 8.6%; Current ratio of 1.18 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.69; Free cash flow per share is positive (1.63); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 5.6%; 2 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth decelerating (-45.4% -> -145.8% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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