PRIM · NYSE · STOCK
Primoris Services (PRIM) Stock Analysis
$74.39
52W $65.00 – $205.50
56/100
$4.04B
28.8
1.44
Is PRIM Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Primoris Services Corporation (PRIM) Watch with a composite score of 56/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated September 06, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +4.03 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -15.97 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Growth Analyst remains cautious — eps declining -42.4% yoy despite any revenue growth. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.28) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 6 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 28.7 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- EPS declining -42.4% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Daily trend (downtrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (uptrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 06, 2026
Overall Committee Score
56/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 72%
of 226 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− P/E of 28.7 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bearish
29
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− EPS declining -42.4% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
46
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.28) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 19.2% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 6 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2704.43)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 56.0 to 56.0.
Comparing 2026-09-05 to 2026-09-06 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
42.3
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.076
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$65.08
Resistance
$78.31
Bollinger %B
0.28
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$74.74
Below
EMA 21
$77.57
Below
EMA 50
$85.89
Below
EMA 200
$109.92
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
76
Growth
25
Profitability
38
Financial Health
61
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
28.8×
P/B Ratio
2.50×
PEG Ratio
-0.68
Dividend Yield
0.43%
52W High
$205.50
52W Low
$65.00
Quality & Growth
ROE
1635.3%
ROA
623.7%
Gross Margin
861.9%
Operating Margin
298.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.69
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 28.8 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.5x; PEG ratio of -0.7 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 16.4%; Return on assets of 6.2%; Net margin of 1.9%; Gross margin of 8.6%; Current ratio of 1.18 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.69; Free cash flow per share is positive (1.63); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 5.6%; 2 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth decelerating (-45.4% -> -145.8% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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