QXO · NYSE · STOCK
QXO (QXO) Stock Analysis
$10.80
52W $10.75 – $27.61
55/100
$11.22B
-13.0
2.28
Is QXO Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates QXO, Inc. (QXO) Buy with a composite score of 55/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +19.74 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -0.26 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — revenue growing 408.2% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.3x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Revenue growing 408.2% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
Bear Case
- ROE of only -4.9% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- RSI at 27 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
- Price trading below the lower Bollinger Band -- stretched to the downside — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
55/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 65%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ Price-to-book of 1.3x is a discount to asset value
− ROE of only -4.9% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
bullish
85
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 408.2% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
Technical Analyst
bearish
31
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 16.9% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 57.8 to 55.3.
- New bearish signals: 4 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Technical Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: stance neutral->bearish; score 46->31 (-15); +3 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
27.1
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.039
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Bollinger %B
-0.01
Below Lower Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$11.54
Below
EMA 21
$11.98
Below
EMA 50
$12.95
Below
EMA 200
$16.30
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
68
Profitability
0
Financial Health
96
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-13.0×
P/B Ratio
0.80×
PEG Ratio
0.13
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$27.61
52W Low
$10.75
Quality & Growth
ROE
-287.8%
ROA
-175.9%
Gross Margin
1917.4%
Operating Margin
-227.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.68
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -13.0 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 0.8x; PEG ratio of 0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -2.9%; Return on assets of -1.8%; Net margin of -5.2%; Gross margin of 19.2%; Current ratio of 4.11 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.68; Free cash flow per share is positive (0.18); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 3.9%; EPS growth accelerating (-700.0% -> +166.7% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -27.3%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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