R · NYSE · STOCK
Ryder (R) Stock Analysis
$238.42
52W $157.67 – $284.25
57/100
$9.15B
19.4
1.05
Is R Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Ryder (R) Watch with a composite score of 57/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +3.45 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -16.55 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
Supporting evidence favours the bullish case. The main limiting factor is sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 16.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 2.6% pays you to wait — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- Debt-to-equity of 2.50 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 2.50) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
- Current ratio of 0.89 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
57/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 57%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 16.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Debt-to-equity of 2.50 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case
Growth Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 2.50) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 56.5 to 56.5.
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
57.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.960
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$185.59
Resistance
$256.34
Bollinger %B
0.66
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$235.43
Above
EMA 21
$237.44
Above
EMA 50
$243.73
Below
EMA 200
$232.37
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
52
Growth
69
Profitability
33
Financial Health
0
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
19.4×
P/B Ratio
3.22×
PEG Ratio
8.98
Dividend Yield
1.57%
52W High
$284.25
52W Low
$157.67
Quality & Growth
ROE
1635.0%
ROA
304.5%
Gross Margin
1894.8%
Operating Margin
729.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
2.94
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 19.4 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.2x; PEG ratio of 9.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 16.3%; Return on assets of 3.0%; Net margin of 3.9%; Gross margin of 18.9%; Current ratio of 0.64 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 2.94; Free cash flow per share is positive (17.66); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 0.8%; EPS growth accelerating (-29.2% -> +46.9% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 12.3%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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