R · NASDAQ · STOCK
Ryder
$262.62
52W $157.67 – $284.25
56/100
$10.05B
21.3
1.01
Is R Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Ryder (R) Watch with a composite score of 56/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 09, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +3.82 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -16.18 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing). Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 2.50) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 16.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.31 across 13 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Debt-to-equity of 2.50 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 2.50) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
- Current ratio of 0.89 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 09, 2026
Overall Committee Score
56/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 70%
of 158 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 16.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Debt-to-equity of 2.50 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case
Growth Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 2.50) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.31 across 13 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 4 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 56.2 to 56.2.
Comparing 2026-08-08 to 2026-08-09 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
45.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.625
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$185.59
Resistance
$284.06
Bollinger %B
0.34
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$263.62
Below
EMA 21
$264.67
Below
EMA 50
$260.59
Above
EMA 200
$226.46
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
48
Growth
69
Profitability
33
Financial Health
0
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
21.3×
P/B Ratio
3.54×
PEG Ratio
9.87
Dividend Yield
1.39%
52W High
$284.25
52W Low
$157.67
Quality & Growth
ROE
1635.0%
ROA
304.5%
Gross Margin
1894.8%
Operating Margin
729.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
2.94
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 21.3 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.5x; PEG ratio of 9.9 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 16.3%; Return on assets of 3.0%; Net margin of 3.9%; Gross margin of 18.9%; Current ratio of 0.64 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 2.94; Free cash flow per share is positive (17.66); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 0.8%; EPS growth accelerating (-29.2% -> +46.9% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 12.3%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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