RIG · NYSE · STOCK
Transocean (RIG) Stock Analysis
$5.47
52W $3.14 – $7.66
60/100
$5.74B
-3.1
1.41
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is RIG Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Transocean Ltd. (RIG) Buy with a composite score of 60/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated October 14, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +15.33 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -4.67 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 0.6x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- ROE of only -20.2% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 14, 2026
Overall Committee Score
60/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 45%
of 93 Energy peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 0.6x is a discount to asset value
− ROE of only -20.2% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score weakened from 62.7 to 59.7.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: score 80->65 (-15).
- Portfolio Manager: score 30->35 (+5).
Comparing 2026-10-13 to 2026-10-14 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
57.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.038
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$4.80
Resistance
$6.26
Bollinger %B
0.73
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$5.51
Below
EMA 21
$5.50
Below
EMA 50
$5.55
Below
EMA 200
$5.40
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
48
Profitability
25
Financial Health
80
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-3.1×
P/B Ratio
0.76×
PEG Ratio
0.04
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$7.66
52W Low
$3.14
Quality & Growth
ROE
-3595.2%
ROA
-1863.6%
Gross Margin
7428.4%
Operating Margin
2217.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.61
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -3.1 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 0.8x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -36.0%; Return on assets of -18.6%; Net margin of -40.2%; Gross margin of 74.3%; Current ratio of 1.59 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.61; Free cash flow per share is positive (0.81); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 63.0%; EPS growth accelerating (-250.0% -> +200.0% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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