RIG · NYSE · STOCK
Transocean Ltd.
$5.80
52W $2.76 – $7.66
53/100
$5.91B
-3.2
1.32
Is RIG Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Transocean Ltd. (RIG) Watch with a composite score of 53/100
, based on 6 analysts with 33% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +7.10 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -12.90 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 16.2% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 0.6x is a discount to asset value — Value
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- Beta of 1.43 means this name should amplify a favorable market regime — Macro
Bear Case
- ROE of only -20.2% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- RSI at 76 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Price trading above the upper Bollinger Band -- stretched — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 16.2% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
53/100
Agreement
33%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 87%
of 90 Energy peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 0.6x is a discount to asset value
− ROE of only -20.2% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · Low confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− RSI at 76 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 16.2% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
75.8
Overbought
MACD Histogram
0.085
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$4.80
Resistance
$6.96
Bollinger %B
1.17
Above Upper Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$5.39
Above
EMA 21
$5.30
Above
EMA 50
$5.46
Above
EMA 200
$5.27
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Profitability
25
Financial Health
80
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-3.2×
P/B Ratio
0.78×
PEG Ratio
0.04
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$7.66
52W Low
$2.76
Quality & Growth
ROE
-3595.2%
ROA
-1863.6%
Gross Margin
7428.4%
Operating Margin
2217.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.61
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of -3.2 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 0.8x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -36.0%; Return on assets of -18.6%; Net margin of -40.2%; Gross margin of 74.3%; Current ratio of 1.59 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.61; Free cash flow per share is positive (0.81); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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