RKLB · NASDAQ · STOCK
Rocket Lab
$83.62
52W $37.57 – $151.00
60/100
$47.95B
-253.4
2.61
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is RKLB Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Rocket Lab (RKLB) Buy with a composite score of 60/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated August 09, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +15.03 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -4.97 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 34.7% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 146 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- RSI at 72 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Price trading above the upper Bollinger Band -- stretched — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 34.7% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 09, 2026
Overall Committee Score
60/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 45%
of 158 Industrials peers
Growth Analyst
bullish
82
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− RSI at 72 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 34.7% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 146 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 4 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 61.8 to 60.0.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 50% to 60%.
- Bullish support removed: 4 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Risk Analyst.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: score 68->64 (-4); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: stance neutral->bearish; score 58->35 (-22).
- Value Analyst abstained (was neutral at 43).
Comparing 2026-08-08 to 2026-08-09 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
72.2
Overbought
MACD Histogram
2.942
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$63.90
Resistance
$99.56
Bollinger %B
1.02
Above Upper Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$73.29
Above
EMA 21
$74.58
Above
EMA 50
$83.14
Above
EMA 200
$79.06
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
67
Growth
92
Profitability
10
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-253.4×
P/B Ratio
22.15×
PEG Ratio
-17.58
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$151.00
52W Low
$37.57
Quality & Growth
ROE
-1151.1%
ROA
-852.7%
Gross Margin
3655.6%
Operating Margin
-3320.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.06
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -253.4 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 22.1x; PEG ratio of -17.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -11.5%; Return on assets of -8.5%; Net margin of -26.9%; Gross margin of 36.6%; Current ratio of 4.47 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.06; Free cash flow per share is negative (-0.52); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 14.1%; 3 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-200.0% -> +22.2% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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