RKLB · NASDAQ · STOCK
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Stock Analysis
$68.19
52W $37.57 – $151.00
56/100
$39.48B
-246.3
2.61
Is RKLB Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Rocket Lab (RKLB) Buy with a composite score of 56/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +19.00 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -1.00 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Revenue growing 52.5% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.10) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 21.6x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- ROE of only -7.6% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 21.5% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
56/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 60%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
43
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− Price-to-book of 21.6x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 52.5% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.10) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 21.5% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 56.9 to 56.0.
- Conviction changed from moderate to contested.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 67% to 50%.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: News Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 58->62 (+4).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: score 58->48 (-10); +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
40.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.019
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$63.90
Resistance
$73.97
Bollinger %B
0.40
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$70.69
Below
EMA 21
$70.11
Below
EMA 50
$71.96
Below
EMA 200
$75.79
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
67
Growth
62
Profitability
11
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-246.3×
P/B Ratio
12.30×
PEG Ratio
-4.87
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$151.00
52W Low
$37.57
Quality & Growth
ROE
-1151.1%
ROA
-852.7%
Gross Margin
3726.4%
Operating Margin
-2905.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.04
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -246.3 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 12.3x; PEG ratio of -4.9 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -11.5%; Return on assets of -8.5%; Net margin of -21.5%; Gross margin of 37.3%; Current ratio of 5.48 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.04; Free cash flow per share is negative (-0.59); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 4.6%; EPS growth decelerating (+22.2% -> -14.3% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 38.5%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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