RSG · NYSE · STOCK
Republic Services (RSG) Stock Analysis
$216.85
52W $196.41 – $233.42
55/100
$66.73B
30.7
0.40
Is RSG Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Republic Services (RSG) Watch with a composite score of 55/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.43 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.57 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 18.3% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 30.5 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 5.5x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Current ratio of 0.64 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
55/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 72%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 18.3% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 30.5 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.64 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 54.6 to 54.6.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
61.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.557
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$207.94
Resistance
$218.74
Bollinger %B
0.60
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$214.53
Above
EMA 21
$215.17
Above
EMA 50
$216.06
Above
EMA 200
$216.95
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
25
Growth
78
Profitability
66
Financial Health
33
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
30.7×
P/B Ratio
5.54×
PEG Ratio
7.17
Dividend Yield
1.17%
52W High
$233.42
52W Low
$196.41
Quality & Growth
ROE
1787.3%
ROA
622.4%
Gross Margin
3909.4%
Operating Margin
2000.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.19
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 30.7 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 5.5x; PEG ratio of 7.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 17.9%; Return on assets of 6.2%; Net margin of 12.9%; Gross margin of 39.1%; Current ratio of 0.64 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.19; Free cash flow per share is positive (11.07); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 1.0%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-3.4% -> +8.8% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Get the Full RSG Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →