RUN · NASDAQ · STOCK
Sunrun Inc.
$10.02
52W $8.61 – $22.44
62/100
$2.39B
5.9
2.35
Is RUN Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Sunrun Inc. (RUN) Buy with a composite score of 62/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +13.29 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -6.71 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — revenue growing 63.2% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 4.71) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 5.9 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Price-to-book of 1.4x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Revenue growing 63.2% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- Debt-to-equity of 4.71 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Daily trend (downtrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (uptrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 4.71) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
- Bollinger bandwidth of 36.7% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
62/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 33%
of 284 Technology peers
Value Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 5.9 is inexpensive for the broad market
− Debt-to-equity of 4.71 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case
Growth Analyst
bullish
85
/ 100 · Low confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 63.2% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
Technical Analyst
neutral
46
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 4.71) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 15 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
45.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.065
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$9.02
Resistance
$13.22
Bollinger %B
0.37
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$10.11
Below
EMA 21
$10.65
Below
EMA 50
$11.73
Below
EMA 200
$13.66
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Profitability
35
Financial Health
26
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
5.9×
P/B Ratio
0.69×
PEG Ratio
0.05
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$22.44
52W Low
$8.61
Quality & Growth
ROE
1436.4%
ROA
186.1%
Gross Margin
3453.7%
Operating Margin
265.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
4.36
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 5.9 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 0.7x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 14.4%; Return on assets of 1.9%; Net margin of 2.3%; Gross margin of 34.5%; Current ratio of 1.42 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 4.36; Free cash flow per share is negative (-5.70); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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