SAIA · NASDAQ · STOCK
SAIA Stock Analysis
$357.60
52W $249.32 – $494.71
60/100
$9.22B
33.3
2.14
Is SAIA Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Saia (SAIA) Buy with a composite score of 60/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated September 05, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +14.60 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -5.40 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is split. Analysts see this stock differently enough that the current rating reflects genuine uncertainty, not a weak signal.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.06) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- News sentiment is positive (+0.71 across 7 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 32.8 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- EPS declining -4.2% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 16.4% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 05, 2026
Overall Committee Score
60/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 23%
of 226 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− P/E of 32.8 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− EPS declining -4.2% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.06) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 16.4% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
81
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.71 across 7 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3059.07)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 60.4 to 60.4.
Comparing 2026-09-04 to 2026-09-05 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
44.3
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.008
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$341.62
Resistance
$354.29
Bollinger %B
0.30
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$346.84
Above
EMA 21
$358.71
Below
EMA 50
$382.00
Below
EMA 200
$385.71
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
66
Growth
86
Profitability
41
Financial Health
83
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
33.3×
P/B Ratio
3.40×
PEG Ratio
-7.85
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$494.71
52W Low
$249.32
Quality & Growth
ROE
989.4%
ROA
732.3%
Gross Margin
1611.7%
Operating Margin
1104.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.10
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 33.3 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.4x; PEG ratio of -7.9 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 9.9%; Return on assets of 7.3%; Net margin of 8.2%; Gross margin of 16.1%; Current ratio of 1.58 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.10; Free cash flow per share is positive (9.53); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 1.9%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+5.1% -> +88.7% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 31.5%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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