SARO · NYSE · STOCK
StandardAero (SARO) Stock Analysis
$20.17
52W $19.85 – $34.48
54/100
$6.71B
20.4
0.91
Is SARO Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates StandardAero (SARO) Watch with a composite score of 54/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.50 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.50 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- EPS growing 140.4% YoY — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.22 across 9 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- 4 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- RSI at 16 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Price structure (HH_HL) contradicts the downtrend -- mixed signals — Technical
- Weekly RSI at 21 -- oversold on the larger timeframe too — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
54/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 73%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
Growth Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 140.4% YoY
− 4 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst
neutral
41
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 19.4% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.22 across 9 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 54.5 to 54.5.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
16.3
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.056
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Bollinger %B
0.09
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$20.91
Below
EMA 21
$21.96
Below
EMA 50
$23.79
Below
EMA 200
$26.35
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
88
Growth
55
Profitability
30
Financial Health
89
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
20.4×
P/B Ratio
2.39×
PEG Ratio
0.14
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$34.48
52W Low
$19.85
Quality & Growth
ROE
1040.1%
ROA
423.1%
Gross Margin
1466.3%
Operating Margin
954.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.93
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 20.4 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.4x; PEG ratio of 0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 10.4%; Return on assets of 4.2%; Net margin of 5.1%; Gross margin of 14.7%; Current ratio of 2.13 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.93; Free cash flow per share is positive (0.67); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 12.3%; 4 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (+0.0% -> +20.8% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 16.0%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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