SHEL · NYSE · STOCK
Shell (SHEL) Stock Analysis
$100.20
52W $68.62 – $101.17
61/100
$279.31B
11.0
-0.22
Is SHEL Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Shell plc (SHEL) Buy with a composite score of 61/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +13.99 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -6.01 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Value Analyst sees a compelling case — p/e of 11.0 is inexpensive for the broad market. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 11.0 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Price-to-book of 1.2x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Dividend yield of 3.9% pays you to wait — Value
- EPS growing 104.5% YoY — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- RSI at 76 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Price trading above the upper Bollinger Band -- stretched — Technical
- News sentiment is negative (-0.27 across 99 articles, 14d) — News
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
61/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 35%
of 93 Energy peers
Value Analyst
bullish
77
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 11.0 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
neutral
53
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ EPS growing 104.5% YoY
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− RSI at 76 is in overbought territory
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
49
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
− News sentiment is negative (-0.27 across 99 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score weakened from 64.5 to 61.0.
- Conviction changed from high to moderate.
- Committee agreement fell sharply from 80% to 60%.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: News Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 66->49 (-17); +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
75.8
Overbought
MACD Histogram
0.293
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Bollinger %B
1.04
Above Upper Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$97.68
Above
EMA 21
$96.25
Above
EMA 50
$93.63
Above
EMA 200
$86.34
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
52
Profitability
36
Financial Health
76
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
11.0×
P/B Ratio
1.54×
PEG Ratio
0.10
Dividend Yield
2.97%
52W High
$101.17
52W Low
$68.62
Quality & Growth
ROE
1022.8%
ROA
481.6%
Gross Margin
1793.6%
Operating Margin
1337.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.40
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 11.0 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.5x; PEG ratio of 0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 10.2%; Return on assets of 4.8%; Net margin of 8.8%; Gross margin of 17.9%; Current ratio of 1.43 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.40; Free cash flow per share is positive (10.64); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 10.1%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+117.9% -> +44.3% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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