SIRI · NASDAQ · STOCK
SiriusXM (SIRI) Stock Analysis
$26.52
52W $19.77 – $32.66
56/100
$8.94B
10.2
0.98
Is SIRI Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates SiriusXM (SIRI) Watch with a composite score of 56/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +3.96 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -16.04 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Value Analyst sees a compelling case — p/e of 10.2 is inexpensive for the broad market. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 10.2 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Price-to-book of 0.6x is a discount to asset value — Value
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Current ratio of 0.30 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
- Bollinger bandwidth of 17.7% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
56/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 52%
of 55 Communication Services peers
Value Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 10.2 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.30 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 56.0 to 56.0.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
51.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.081
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$24.55
Resistance
$27.40
Bollinger %B
0.44
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$26.28
Above
EMA 21
$26.79
Below
EMA 50
$27.67
Below
EMA 200
$26.55
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
36
Profitability
45
Financial Health
43
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
10.2×
P/B Ratio
0.75×
PEG Ratio
0.08
Dividend Yield
4.07%
52W High
$32.66
52W Low
$19.77
Quality & Growth
ROE
696.2%
ROA
295.5%
Gross Margin
4618.2%
Operating Margin
1919.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.79
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 10.2 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 0.8x; PEG ratio of 0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 7.0%; Return on assets of 3.0%; Net margin of 10.2%; Gross margin of 46.2%; Current ratio of 0.46 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.79; Free cash flow per share is positive (4.60); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 12.4%; EPS growth decelerating (+200.0% -> -2.8% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 22.8%; Analyst estimates flat over recent quarters
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