SMR · NYSE · STOCK
NuScale Power (SMR) Stock Analysis
$7.20
52W $7.07 – $57.42
51/100
$2.15B
-2.8
2.37
Is SMR Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates NuScale Power Corporation (SMR) Watch with a composite score of 51/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +9.18 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -10.82 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 37 articles, 14d). Growth Analyst remains cautious — revenue declining -81.0% yoy -- this is not a growth story right now. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 37 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- ROE of only -31.8% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Revenue declining -81.0% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- 4 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- RSI at 28 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
51/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 89%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− ROE of only -31.8% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
bearish
23
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Revenue declining -81.0% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
41
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 25.5% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 37 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 51.2 to 50.8.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
27.8
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.077
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Bollinger %B
0.04
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$7.70
Below
EMA 21
$8.16
Below
EMA 50
$8.75
Below
EMA 200
$13.04
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
6
Profitability
1
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-2.8×
P/B Ratio
0.57×
PEG Ratio
0.02
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$57.42
52W Low
$7.07
Quality & Growth
ROE
-3044.0%
ROA
-2518.9%
Gross Margin
2106.6%
Operating Margin
—
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.00
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -2.8 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 0.6x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -30.4%; Return on assets of -25.2%; Net margin of -3888.7%; Gross margin of 21.1%; Current ratio of 37.88 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.00; Free cash flow per share is negative (-4.74); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 0.1%; 4 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth decelerating (+54.8% -> +7.1% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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