SSD · NYSE · STOCK
Simpson Manufacturing (SSD) Stock Analysis
$195.81
52W $156.32 – $213.49
68/100
$7.97B
21.1
1.31
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is SSD Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Simpson Manufacturing (SSD) Buy with a composite score of 68/100
, based on 6 analysts with 83% agreement.
Last updated August 17, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +6.76 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -13.24 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.18) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock. The main limiting factor is growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 18.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.18) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
Bear Case
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 17, 2026
Overall Committee Score
68/100
Agreement
83%
Analysts
6
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 5%
of 95 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ ROE of 18.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
Growth Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
bullish
69
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Risk Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.18) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 5 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2963.04)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 68.2 to 68.2.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Portfolio Manager: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-08-16 to 2026-08-17 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
48.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.300
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$175.77
Resistance
$196.38
Bollinger %B
0.56
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$194.84
Above
EMA 21
$193.87
Above
EMA 50
$192.52
Above
EMA 200
$184.96
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
76
Growth
69
Profitability
82
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
21.1×
P/B Ratio
3.75×
PEG Ratio
1.27
Dividend Yield
0.60%
52W High
$213.49
52W Low
$156.32
Quality & Growth
ROE
1700.1%
ROA
1122.7%
Gross Margin
4576.6%
Operating Margin
2055.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.20
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 21.1 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.7x; PEG ratio of 1.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 17.0%; Return on assets of 11.2%; Net margin of 15.6%; Gross margin of 45.8%; Current ratio of 3.29 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.20; Free cash flow per share is positive (11.43); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 12.5%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+57.8% -> +45.1% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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