SSD · NYSE · STOCK
Simpson Manufacturing (SSD) Stock Analysis
$174.91
52W $156.32 – $213.49
61/100
$7.15B
18.9
1.31
Is SSD Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Simpson Manufacturing (SSD) Buy with a composite score of 61/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated September 22, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +14.10 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -5.90 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is split. Analysts see this stock differently enough that the current rating reflects genuine uncertainty, not a weak signal.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 18.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.18) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
Bear Case
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- RSI at 27 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 22, 2026
Overall Committee Score
61/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 25%
of 99 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ ROE of 18.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
Growth Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
46
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− RSI at 27 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup)
Risk Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.18) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2517.06)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 60.9 to 60.9.
Comparing 2026-09-21 to 2026-09-22 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
41.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.096
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$173.40
Resistance
$178.65
Bollinger %B
0.31
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$173.87
Above
EMA 21
$178.00
Below
EMA 50
$183.68
Below
EMA 200
$183.85
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
83
Growth
69
Profitability
82
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
18.9×
P/B Ratio
3.36×
PEG Ratio
1.14
Dividend Yield
0.67%
52W High
$213.49
52W Low
$156.32
Quality & Growth
ROE
1700.1%
ROA
1122.7%
Gross Margin
4576.6%
Operating Margin
2055.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.20
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 18.9 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.4x; PEG ratio of 1.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 17.0%; Return on assets of 11.2%; Net margin of 15.6%; Gross margin of 45.8%; Current ratio of 3.29 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.20; Free cash flow per share is positive (11.43); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 12.5%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+57.8% -> +45.1% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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