STLD · NASDAQ · STOCK
Steel Dynamics (STLD) Stock Analysis
$230.19
52W $134.87 – $288.74
62/100
$32.96B
20.8
1.51
Is STLD Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Steel Dynamics (STLD) Buy with a composite score of 62/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated September 22, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +13.06 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -6.94 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is roe of 17.6% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation. Most analysts agree, and no major concerns are blocking a stronger rating.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 17.6% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 60.8% YoY — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 22, 2026
Overall Committee Score
62/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 16%
of 99 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ ROE of 17.6% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
Growth Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 60.8% YoY
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2517.06)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 61.9 to 61.9.
Comparing 2026-09-21 to 2026-09-22 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
37.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.176
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$218.84
Resistance
$273.25
Bollinger %B
0.14
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$237.26
Below
EMA 21
$239.24
Below
EMA 50
$241.21
Below
EMA 200
$216.35
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
82
Growth
59
Profitability
44
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
20.8×
P/B Ratio
3.53×
PEG Ratio
0.34
Dividend Yield
0.90%
52W High
$288.74
52W Low
$134.87
Quality & Growth
ROE
1323.6%
ROA
722.4%
Gross Margin
1461.7%
Operating Margin
1057.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.44
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 20.8 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.5x; PEG ratio of 0.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 13.2%; Return on assets of 7.2%; Net margin of 7.8%; Gross margin of 14.6%; Current ratio of 3.18 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.44; Free cash flow per share is positive (6.62); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 2.7%; EPS growth decelerating (+52.7% -> +37.1% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 89.5%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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