STRL · NASDAQ · STOCK
Sterling Infrastructure (STRL) Stock Analysis
$513.20
52W $281.58 – $1005.68
64/100
$15.74B
36.6
1.86
Is STRL Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Sterling Infrastructure (STRL) Buy with a composite score of 64/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +10.79 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -9.21 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — revenue growing 60.8% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 36.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Revenue growing 60.8% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- EPS growing 50.8% YoY — Growth
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 36.7 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 8.5x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Bollinger bandwidth of 17.8% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
64/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 10%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 36.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 36.7 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
84
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 60.8% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.26) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 17.8% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 33 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 64.2 to 64.2.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
47.9
Neutral
MACD Histogram
3.710
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$444.82
Resistance
$1005.64
Bollinger %B
0.54
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$521.33
Below
EMA 21
$515.37
Below
EMA 50
$537.25
Below
EMA 200
$531.81
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
38
Growth
95
Profitability
68
Financial Health
63
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
36.6×
P/B Ratio
11.60×
PEG Ratio
0.72
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$1005.68
52W Low
$281.58
Quality & Growth
ROE
2617.5%
ROA
1101.6%
Gross Margin
2380.7%
Operating Margin
1769.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.25
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 36.6 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 11.6x; PEG ratio of 0.7 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 26.2%; Return on assets of 11.0%; Net margin of 12.5%; Gross margin of 23.8%; Current ratio of 1.11 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.25; Free cash flow per share is positive (15.66); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 6.1%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+10.0% -> +61.8% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 116.5%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Get the Full STRL Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →