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Suncor Energy (SU) Stock Analysis

Energy Updated September 17, 2026
$68.94
52W $37.77 – $72.06
65/100
$84.86B
13.3
0.56
AI Committee Verdict
Buy
65/100
Conviction: Unanimous · 100% agreement · 5 analysts
-17.5%
Unanimous

Is SU Bullish or Bearish?

Bullish. Innellis AI committee rates Suncor Energy Inc. (SU) Buy with a composite score of 65/100 , based on 5 analysts with 100% agreement. Last updated September 17, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Strong Buy
Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +10.19 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Watch
Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -9.81 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The primary driver is p/e of 13.1 is inexpensive for the broad market. The main limiting factor is sector concentration is already high (hhi 2514.55). The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • P/E of 13.1 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
  • ROE of 19.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
  • Dividend yield of 4.9% pays you to wait — Value
  • EPS growing 65.6% YoY — Growth
  • 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
  • Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
Bear Case
  • Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
  • RSI at 77 is in overbought territory — Technical
  • Price trading above the upper Bollinger Band -- stretched — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of September 17, 2026
Overall Committee Score
65/100
Agreement
100%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Unanimous
Sector Rank
Top 17%
of 93 Energy peers
Value Analyst bullish
70 / 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 13.1 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst bullish
66 / 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 65.6% YoY
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst bullish
61 / 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− RSI at 77 is in overbought territory
Macro Analyst bullish
65 / 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst bullish
62 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager neutral
45 / 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2514.55)
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Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score moved marginally from 64.8 to 64.8.

Analyst-level changes:
  • Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).

Comparing 2026-09-16 to 2026-09-17 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
77.5
Overbought
MACD Histogram
0.176
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Bollinger %B
1.17
Above Upper Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$69.00 Below
EMA 21
$67.68 Above
EMA 50
$65.59 Above
EMA 200
$58.91 Above

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
95
Growth
75
Profitability
67
Financial Health
86
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio 13.3×
P/B Ratio 2.45×
PEG Ratio 0.20
Dividend Yield 2.40%
52W High $72.06
52W Low $37.77
Quality & Growth
ROE 1312.6%
ROA 658.7%
Gross Margin 4370.9%
Operating Margin 1808.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
Debt / Equity 0.30
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 13.3 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.4x; PEG ratio of 0.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 13.1%; Return on assets of 6.6%; Net margin of 15.3%; Gross margin of 43.7%; Current ratio of 1.65 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.30; Free cash flow per share is positive (8.76); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 2.1%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+75.5% -> +67.4% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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