SWK · NYSE · STOCK
Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) Stock Analysis
$88.57
52W $61.90 – $104.68
65/100
$13.38B
21.7
1.17
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is SWK Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) Buy with a composite score of 65/100
, based on 5 analysts with 80% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +9.87 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -10.13 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Value Analyst sees a compelling case — price-to-book of 1.3x is a discount to asset value. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.3x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Dividend yield of 3.5% pays you to wait — Value
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 17 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 18.5% downside vs 5.2% upside.
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
65/100
Agreement
80%
Analysts
5
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 8%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ Price-to-book of 1.3x is a discount to asset value
Growth Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 17 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 65.1 to 65.1.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
41.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.125
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$72.19
Resistance
$93.17
Bollinger %B
0.28
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$89.36
Below
EMA 21
$90.42
Below
EMA 50
$91.62
Below
EMA 200
$85.27
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
91
Growth
81
Profitability
23
Financial Health
76
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
21.7×
P/B Ratio
1.50×
PEG Ratio
0.76
Dividend Yield
3.76%
52W High
$104.68
52W Low
$61.90
Quality & Growth
ROE
443.9%
ROA
189.2%
Gross Margin
3171.9%
Operating Margin
833.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.53
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 21.7 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.5x; PEG ratio of 0.8 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 4.4%; Return on assets of 1.9%; Net margin of 4.1%; Gross margin of 31.7%; Current ratio of 1.43 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.53; Free cash flow per share is positive (8.49); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 27.9%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-43.3% -> +96.2% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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