SWK · NASDAQ · STOCK
Stanley Black & Decker
$103.91
52W $61.90 – $104.40
60/100
$15.69B
25.5
1.16
Is SWK Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) Buy with a composite score of 60/100
, based on 6 analysts with 83% agreement.
Last updated August 08, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +14.87 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -5.13 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing). The main limiting factor is bollinger bandwidth of 24.5% signals elevated volatility. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.3x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Dividend yield of 3.3% pays you to wait — Value
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 25.3 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- RSI at 74 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Weekly RSI at 82 -- overbought on the larger timeframe too — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 24.5% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 08, 2026
Overall Committee Score
60/100
Agreement
83%
Analysts
6
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 37%
of 158 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ Price-to-book of 1.3x is a discount to asset value
− P/E of 25.3 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− RSI at 74 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 24.5% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 35 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 4 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 61.4 to 60.1.
- New bearish signals: 4 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: score 69->61 (-8); +2 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-08-07 to 2026-08-08 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
74.4
Overbought
MACD Histogram
1.055
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Bollinger %B
0.96
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$99.04
Above
EMA 21
$94.89
Above
EMA 50
$89.57
Above
EMA 200
$80.68
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
85
Growth
81
Profitability
23
Financial Health
76
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
25.5×
P/B Ratio
1.76×
PEG Ratio
0.89
Dividend Yield
3.20%
52W High
$104.40
52W Low
$61.90
Quality & Growth
ROE
443.9%
ROA
189.2%
Gross Margin
3171.9%
Operating Margin
833.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.53
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 25.5 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.8x; PEG ratio of 0.9 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 4.4%; Return on assets of 1.9%; Net margin of 4.1%; Gross margin of 31.7%; Current ratio of 1.43 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.53; Free cash flow per share is positive (8.49); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 27.9%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-43.3% -> +96.2% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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