TALO · NYSE · STOCK
Talos Energy (TALO) Stock Analysis
$17.43
52W $8.87 – $18.73
61/100
$3.06B
-7.8
0.36
Is TALO Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Talos Energy Inc. (TALO) Buy with a composite score of 61/100
, based on 5 analysts with 80% agreement.
Last updated September 17, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +13.57 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -6.43 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
Supporting evidence favours the bullish case. The main limiting factor is roe of only -19.2% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 0.9x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- ROE of only -19.2% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- RSI at 79 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Price trading above the upper Bollinger Band -- stretched — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 17, 2026
Overall Committee Score
61/100
Agreement
80%
Analysts
5
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 37%
of 93 Energy peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 0.9x is a discount to asset value
− ROE of only -19.2% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− RSI at 79 is in overbought territory
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
63
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.18 across 11 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2514.55)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 61.4 to 61.4.
Comparing 2026-09-16 to 2026-09-17 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
78.5
Overbought
MACD Histogram
0.025
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Bollinger %B
1.08
Above Upper Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$17.57
Below
EMA 21
$17.02
Above
EMA 50
$16.11
Above
EMA 200
$14.07
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
89
Profitability
7
Financial Health
81
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-7.8×
P/B Ratio
1.51×
PEG Ratio
0.08
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$18.73
52W Low
$8.87
Quality & Growth
ROE
-2289.5%
ROA
-894.0%
Gross Margin
3080.0%
Operating Margin
323.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.61
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -7.8 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.5x; PEG ratio of 0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -22.9%; Return on assets of -8.9%; Net margin of -20.6%; Gross margin of 30.8%; Current ratio of 1.61 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.61; Free cash flow per share is positive (1.98); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 108.1%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+84.1% -> +914.3% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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