TALO · NYSE · STOCK
Talos Energy Inc.
$15.57
52W $7.83 – $17.05
56/100
$2.60B
-6.7
0.34
Is TALO Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Talos Energy Inc. (TALO) Watch with a composite score of 56/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +3.60 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -16.40 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 15.5% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 0.9x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
Bear Case
- ROE of only -19.2% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Bollinger bandwidth of 15.5% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
56/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 68%
of 90 Energy peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 0.9x is a discount to asset value
− ROE of only -19.2% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · Low confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
Technical Analyst
bullish
69
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 15.5% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
66.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.092
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$12.98
Resistance
$17.00
Bollinger %B
0.93
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$14.82
Above
EMA 21
$14.58
Above
EMA 50
$14.48
Above
EMA 200
$13.27
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Profitability
7
Financial Health
81
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-6.7×
P/B Ratio
1.28×
PEG Ratio
0.06
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$17.05
52W Low
$7.83
Quality & Growth
ROE
-2289.5%
ROA
-894.0%
Gross Margin
3080.0%
Operating Margin
323.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.61
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of -6.7 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.3x; PEG ratio of 0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -22.9%; Return on assets of -8.9%; Net margin of -20.6%; Gross margin of 30.8%; Current ratio of 1.61 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.61; Free cash flow per share is positive (1.98); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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