TDS · NYSE · STOCK
Telephone and Data Systems (TDS) Stock Analysis
$33.54
52W $31.51 – $49.12
60/100
$3.56B
7.9
0.32
Is TDS Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Telephone and Data Systems, Inc. (TDS) Buy with a composite score of 60/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +14.67 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -5.33 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Risk Analyst sees a compelling case — low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.17) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 8.6 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Price-to-book of 0.9x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Dividend yield of 3.9% pays you to wait — Value
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.17) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 5 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Revenue declining -73.8% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- RSI at 28 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Price structure (HH_HL) contradicts the downtrend -- mixed signals — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
60/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 25%
of 55 Communication Services peers
Value Analyst
bullish
77
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 8.6 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
neutral
43
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Revenue declining -73.8% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
bearish
33
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.17) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 5 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 61.6 to 60.3.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: score 39->33 (-6); +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
28.1
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.236
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$32.65
Resistance
$36.52
Bollinger %B
0.06
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$34.75
Below
EMA 21
$35.24
Below
EMA 50
$35.58
Below
EMA 200
$38.07
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
62
Profitability
30
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
7.9×
P/B Ratio
0.74×
PEG Ratio
0.00
Dividend Yield
31.05%
52W High
$49.12
52W Low
$31.51
Quality & Growth
ROE
-13.0%
ROA
-7.4%
Gross Margin
2868.5%
Operating Margin
2462.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.24
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 7.9 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 0.7x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -0.1%; Return on assets of -0.1%; Net margin of 33.3%; Gross margin of 28.7%; Current ratio of 3.82 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.24; Free cash flow per share is negative (-3.95); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 2787.8%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+230.3% -> +122.0% QoQ); Analyst estimates flat over recent quarters
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