TDS · NYSE · STOCK
Telephone and Data Systems, Inc.
$33.38
52W $31.51 – $49.12
54/100
$3.54B
7.8
0.35
Is TDS Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Telephone and Data Systems, Inc. (TDS) Watch with a composite score of 54/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.88 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.12 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Risk Analyst sees a compelling case — low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.17) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock. Growth Analyst remains cautious — revenue declining -56.0% yoy -- this is not a growth story right now. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 0.9x is a discount to asset value — Value
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.17) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 26.7 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- ROE of only 2.7% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Revenue declining -56.0% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
- Daily trend (downtrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (uptrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
54/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 82%
of 51 Communication Services peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 0.9x is a discount to asset value
− P/E of 26.7 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bearish
15
/ 100 · Low confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Revenue declining -56.0% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
46
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.17) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
neutral
51
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
− News sentiment is negative (-0.20 across 5 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
41.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.129
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$32.65
Resistance
$39.79
Bollinger %B
0.26
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$34.13
Below
EMA 21
$34.53
Below
EMA 50
$36.29
Below
EMA 200
$39.47
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Profitability
30
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
7.8×
P/B Ratio
0.74×
PEG Ratio
0.00
Dividend Yield
31.23%
52W High
$49.12
52W Low
$31.51
Quality & Growth
ROE
-13.0%
ROA
-7.4%
Gross Margin
2868.5%
Operating Margin
2462.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.24
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 7.8 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 0.7x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -0.1%; Return on assets of -0.1%; Net margin of 33.3%; Gross margin of 28.7%; Current ratio of 3.82 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.24; Free cash flow per share is negative (-2.48); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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