TDW · NYSE · STOCK
Tidewater (TDW) Stock Analysis
$88.23
52W $46.65 – $101.58
61/100
$4.56B
18.4
0.57
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is TDW Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Tidewater Inc. (TDW) Buy with a composite score of 61/100
, based on 5 analysts with 80% agreement.
Last updated September 17, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +13.91 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -6.09 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is roe of 18.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation. The main limiting factor is revenue declining -1.0% yoy -- this is not a growth story right now. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 18.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 28.1% YoY — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.17 across 6 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Revenue declining -1.0% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- 4 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 17, 2026
Overall Committee Score
61/100
Agreement
80%
Analysts
5
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 39%
of 93 Energy peers
Value Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ ROE of 18.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
Growth Analyst
neutral
51
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ EPS growing 28.1% YoY
− Revenue declining -1.0% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
63
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.17 across 6 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2514.55)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 61.1 to 61.1.
Comparing 2026-09-16 to 2026-09-17 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
47.9
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-1.099
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$71.81
Resistance
$93.11
Bollinger %B
0.33
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$92.24
Below
EMA 21
$91.54
Below
EMA 50
$86.85
Above
EMA 200
$75.48
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
86
Growth
31
Profitability
78
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
18.4×
P/B Ratio
3.28×
PEG Ratio
0.66
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$101.58
52W Low
$46.65
Quality & Growth
ROE
2451.0%
ROA
1402.1%
Gross Margin
2861.0%
Operating Margin
1862.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.47
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 18.4 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.3x; PEG ratio of 0.7 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 24.5%; Return on assets of 14.0%; Net margin of 18.3%; Gross margin of 28.6%; Current ratio of 3.58 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.47; Free cash flow per share is positive (5.19); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 9.0%; 4 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (-67.6% -> +258.3% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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