TDW · NYSE · STOCK
Tidewater (TDW) Stock Analysis
$85.31
52W $46.65 – $101.58
59/100
$4.25B
17.1
0.60
Is TDW Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Tidewater Inc. (TDW) Watch with a composite score of 59/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +0.58 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -19.42 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Value Analyst sees a compelling case — roe of 18.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 18.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 28.1% YoY — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- Revenue declining -1.0% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- 4 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
59/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 48%
of 93 Energy peers
Value Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ ROE of 18.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
Growth Analyst
neutral
51
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ EPS growing 28.1% YoY
− Revenue declining -1.0% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score strengthened from 53.7 to 59.4.
- Conviction changed from contested to moderate.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 50% to 60%.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Risk Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Risk Analyst abstained (was bearish at 35).
- Technical Analyst: score 48->58 (+10); +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
54.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.060
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$71.81
Resistance
$88.99
Bollinger %B
0.52
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$83.97
Above
EMA 21
$85.37
Below
EMA 50
$85.54
Below
EMA 200
$76.97
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
89
Growth
31
Profitability
78
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
17.1×
P/B Ratio
3.05×
PEG Ratio
0.61
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$101.58
52W Low
$46.65
Quality & Growth
ROE
2451.0%
ROA
1402.1%
Gross Margin
2861.0%
Operating Margin
1862.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.47
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 17.1 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.0x; PEG ratio of 0.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 24.5%; Return on assets of 14.0%; Net margin of 18.3%; Gross margin of 28.6%; Current ratio of 3.58 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.47; Free cash flow per share is positive (5.19); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 9.0%; 4 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (-67.6% -> +258.3% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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