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Terex (TEX) Stock Analysis

Industrials Updated October 10, 2026
$50.66
52W $41.70 – $74.69
51/100
$5.79B
25.5
1.47
AI Committee Verdict
Watch
51/100
Conviction: Contested · 50% agreement · 6 analysts
+0.9%
-0.7%
1.38:1
Contested

Is TEX Bullish or Bearish?

Mixed. Innellis AI committee rates Terex (TEX) Watch with a composite score of 51/100 , based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement. Last updated October 10, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Buy
Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +9.19 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Reduce
Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -10.81 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — revenue growing 29.2% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • Revenue growing 29.2% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
  • 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
  • Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
  • News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 16 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
  • P/E of 39.6 is moderate-to-rich — Value
  • ROE of only 4.3% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
  • EPS declining -26.4% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
  • Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
  • RSI at 24 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
  • MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
51/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 89%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst neutral
42 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− P/E of 39.6 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst bullish
68 / 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 29.2% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− EPS declining -26.4% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst bearish
32 / 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst bearish
35 / 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 18.0% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst bullish
65 / 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst bullish
64 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 16 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager bearish
30 / 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
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Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score moved marginally from 49.7 to 50.8.

Analyst-level changes:
  • Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
  • Technical Analyst: +3 bearish signal(s).
  • Value Analyst: stance bearish->neutral; score 35->42 (+7); +1 bearish signal(s).

Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
24.4
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.243
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$50.31
Resistance
$51.14
Bollinger %B
-0.06
Below Lower Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$54.26 Below
EMA 21
$56.47 Below
EMA 50
$59.69 Below
EMA 200
$60.36 Below

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
86
Growth
86
Profitability
25
Financial Health
91
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio 25.5×
P/B Ratio 1.17×
PEG Ratio -0.96
Dividend Yield 1.34%
52W High $74.69
52W Low $41.70
Quality & Growth
ROE 1054.9%
ROA 360.0%
Gross Margin 1767.3%
Operating Margin 572.1%
Revenue Growth YoY —
Debt / Equity 0.55
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 25.5 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.2x; PEG ratio of -1.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 10.5%; Return on assets of 3.6%; Net margin of 2.2%; Gross margin of 17.7%; Current ratio of 1.82 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.55; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.98); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 9.3%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-12.5% -> +39.8% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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