TIC · NYSE · STOCK
TIC Solutions (TIC) Stock Analysis
$8.91
52W $6.36 – $13.52
54/100
$1.97B
-11.1
1.88
Is TIC Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates TIC Solutions, Inc. (TIC) Watch with a composite score of 54/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +6.04 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -13.96 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.0x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- ROE of only -5.5% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- 4 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 17.1% signals elevated volatility — Risk
- No news coverage in the last 14 days -- limited independent confirmation either way — News
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
54/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 75%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 1.0x is a discount to asset value
− ROE of only -5.5% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− 4 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 17.1% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
− No news coverage in the last 14 days -- limited independent confirmation either way
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 52.7 to 54.0.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: score 49->56 (+8); +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
58.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.017
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$8.81
Resistance
$10.84
Bollinger %B
0.54
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$8.72
Above
EMA 21
$8.83
Above
EMA 50
$8.85
Above
EMA 200
$9.06
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
31
Profitability
7
Financial Health
92
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-11.1×
P/B Ratio
0.67×
PEG Ratio
0.40
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$13.52
52W Low
$6.36
Quality & Growth
ROE
-399.6%
ROA
-198.2%
Gross Margin
3197.9%
Operating Margin
-187.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.81
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -11.1 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 0.7x; PEG ratio of 0.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -4.0%; Return on assets of -2.0%; Net margin of -5.6%; Gross margin of 32.0%; Current ratio of 2.91 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.81; Free cash flow per share is negative (-0.01); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 294.7%; 4 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (+24.0% -> +68.4% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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