TKO · NYSE · STOCK
TKO Group Holdings (TKO) Stock Analysis
$177.94
52W $171.19 – $226.94
49/100
$13.35B
58.9
0.69
Is TKO Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates TKO Group Holdings (TKO) Watch with a composite score of 49/100
, based on 5 analysts with 40% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +10.66 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -9.34 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Value Analyst remains cautious — p/e of 145.3 is expensive by classic value standards. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- EPS growing 96.4% YoY — Growth
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.17 across 6 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 145.3 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 10.9x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- 4 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
49/100
Agreement
40%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 89%
of 55 Communication Services peers
Value Analyst
bearish
25
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 145.3 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ EPS growing 96.4% YoY
− 4 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst
neutral
49
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
63
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.17 across 6 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 49.3 to 49.3.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
41.3
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.297
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$176.28
Resistance
$202.45
Bollinger %B
0.27
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$179.39
Below
EMA 21
$182.40
Below
EMA 50
$186.13
Below
EMA 200
$190.83
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
54
Growth
31
Profitability
36
Financial Health
44
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
58.9×
P/B Ratio
3.92×
PEG Ratio
-89.60
Dividend Yield
1.76%
52W High
$226.94
52W Low
$171.19
Quality & Growth
ROE
522.8%
ROA
126.1%
Gross Margin
5407.9%
Operating Margin
1995.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.46
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 58.9 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.9x; PEG ratio of -89.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 5.2%; Return on assets of 1.3%; Net margin of 4.3%; Gross margin of 54.1%; Current ratio of 1.22 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.46; Free cash flow per share is positive (22.36); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 10.9%; 4 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth decelerating (+1500.0% -> +19.6% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 14.5%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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