TT · NYSE · STOCK
Trane Technologies (TT) Stock Analysis
$476.74
52W $346.45 – $505.87
55/100
$104.95B
35.9
1.16
Is TT Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Trane Technologies (TT) Watch with a composite score of 55/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.06 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.94 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 34.6% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 35.7 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 10.1x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- RSI at 73 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Price structure (LH_LL) contradicts the uptrend -- mixed signals — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 17.0% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
55/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 67%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 34.6% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 35.7 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
neutral
57
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− RSI at 73 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 17.0% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 55.2 to 54.9.
- Recommendation changed from Buy to Watch.
- New bearish signals: 4 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: +2 bearish signal(s); +2 bullish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
72.5
Overbought
MACD Histogram
4.014
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$444.17
Resistance
$479.11
Bollinger %B
0.87
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$465.73
Above
EMA 21
$456.83
Above
EMA 50
$455.85
Above
EMA 200
$451.77
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
6
Growth
66
Profitability
76
Financial Health
61
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
35.9×
P/B Ratio
12.19×
PEG Ratio
8.16
Dividend Yield
0.86%
52W High
$505.87
52W Low
$346.45
Quality & Growth
ROE
3393.4%
ROA
1362.5%
Gross Margin
3538.9%
Operating Margin
1794.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.53
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 35.9 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 12.2x; PEG ratio of 8.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 33.9%; Return on assets of 13.6%; Net margin of 13.3%; Gross margin of 35.4%; Current ratio of 1.07 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.53; Free cash flow per share is positive (16.05); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 1.9%; EPS growth accelerating (-8.0% -> +63.9% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 11.1%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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