TTD · NASDAQ · STOCK
Trade Desk (TTD) Stock Analysis
$12.06
52W $11.62 – $55.11
59/100
$5.68B
14.4
0.99
Is TTD Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Trade Desk (The) (TTD) Buy with a composite score of 59/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +15.92 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -4.08 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 14.0 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 16.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 7.4x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Weekly RSI at 24 -- oversold on the larger timeframe too — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 33.4% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
59/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 32%
of 55 Communication Services peers
Value Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 14.0 is inexpensive for the broad market
− Price-to-book of 7.4x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
neutral
57
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 33.4% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 58.4 to 59.1.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: score 51->55 (+4).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
35.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.017
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Bollinger %B
0.30
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$12.23
Below
EMA 21
$12.77
Below
EMA 50
$14.13
Below
EMA 200
$24.10
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
96
Growth
37
Profitability
82
Financial Health
88
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
14.4×
P/B Ratio
2.20×
PEG Ratio
0.14
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$55.11
52W Low
$11.62
Quality & Growth
ROE
1784.4%
ROA
720.4%
Gross Margin
7687.2%
Operating Margin
1960.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.17
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 14.4 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.2x; PEG ratio of 0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 17.8%; Return on assets of 7.2%; Net margin of 13.6%; Gross margin of 76.9%; Current ratio of 1.72 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.17; Free cash flow per share is positive (1.84); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 15.1%; 2 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (-52.5% -> +21.4% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -17.1%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
Get the Full TTD Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →