UFPI · NASDAQ · STOCK
UFP Industries (UFPI) Stock Analysis
$79.12
52W $77.89 – $118.00
59/100
$4.47B
18.2
1.23
Is UFPI Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates UFP Industries (UFPI) Buy with a composite score of 59/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated September 20, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +16.12 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -3.88 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Risk Analyst sees a compelling case — low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.07) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock. Growth Analyst remains cautious — revenue declining -3.9% yoy -- this is not a growth story right now. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.07) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- News sentiment is positive (+0.25 across 4 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Revenue declining -3.9% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- EPS declining -18.7% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- RSI at 29 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Price structure (HH_HL) contradicts the downtrend -- mixed signals — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 20, 2026
Overall Committee Score
59/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 36%
of 99 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
Growth Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− Revenue declining -3.9% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
41
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.07) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.25 across 4 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2518.64)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 58.9 to 58.9.
Comparing 2026-09-19 to 2026-09-20 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
28.9
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.313
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$78.38
Resistance
$81.23
Bollinger %B
0.14
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$81.16
Below
EMA 21
$83.28
Below
EMA 50
$85.40
Below
EMA 200
$90.40
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
96
Growth
53
Profitability
35
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
18.2×
P/B Ratio
1.45×
PEG Ratio
-0.74
Dividend Yield
1.81%
52W High
$118.00
52W Low
$77.89
Quality & Growth
ROE
955.8%
ROA
732.8%
Gross Margin
1612.8%
Operating Margin
506.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.08
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 18.2 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.4x; PEG ratio of -0.7 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 9.6%; Return on assets of 7.3%; Net margin of 3.9%; Gross margin of 16.1%; Current ratio of 3.98 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.08; Free cash flow per share is positive (4.73); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 4.2%; EPS growth accelerating (+27.1% -> +66.3% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -12.9%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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