VG · NYSE · STOCK
Venture Global (VG) Stock Analysis
$13.15
52W $5.72 – $17.62
61/100
$32.13B
9.7
0.22
Is VG Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Venture Global, Inc. (VG) Buy with a composite score of 61/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +14.42 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -5.58 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — revenue growing 100.7% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 8.8 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 45.0% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Revenue growing 100.7% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- EPS growing 119.9% YoY — Growth
- 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
Bear Case
- Debt-to-equity of 4.08 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 4.08) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
- Current ratio of 0.93 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
- Bollinger bandwidth of 24.6% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
61/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 40%
of 93 Energy peers
Value Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 8.8 is inexpensive for the broad market
− Debt-to-equity of 4.08 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case
Growth Analyst
bullish
84
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 100.7% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
33
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 4.08) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 58.9 to 60.6.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: score 48->58 (+10); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
45.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.007
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$11.90
Resistance
$14.95
Bollinger %B
0.40
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$13.20
Below
EMA 21
$13.45
Below
EMA 50
$13.59
Below
EMA 200
$12.76
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
88
Growth
88
Profitability
80
Financial Health
16
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
9.7×
P/B Ratio
3.82×
PEG Ratio
0.03
Dividend Yield
0.71%
52W High
$17.62
52W Low
$5.72
Quality & Growth
ROE
3999.7%
ROA
504.6%
Gross Margin
4783.2%
Operating Margin
3770.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
4.99
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 9.7 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.8x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 40.0%; Return on assets of 5.0%; Net margin of 21.5%; Gross margin of 47.8%; Current ratio of 1.19 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 4.99; Free cash flow per share is negative (-3.78); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 9.8%; 3 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-53.4% -> +188.0% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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