VNOM · NASDAQ · STOCK
Viper Energy
$40.80
52W $35.10 – $51.13
53/100
$14.70B
291.6
0.27
Is VNOM Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Viper Energy (VNOM) Watch with a composite score of 53/100
, based on 4 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 08, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +6.73 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -13.27 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing). Growth Analyst remains cautious — growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- RSI at 30 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 08, 2026
Overall Committee Score
53/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
4
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 82%
of 40 Energy peers
Growth Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
46
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− RSI at 30 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup)
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 4 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 55.2 to 53.3.
- Recommendation changed from Buy to Watch.
- Conviction changed from moderate to contested.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 60% to 50%.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Growth Analyst.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: stance neutral->bearish; score 47->35 (-12).
- Technical Analyst: score 54->46 (-8); +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst abstained (was neutral at 44).
Comparing 2026-08-07 to 2026-08-08 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
29.6
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.297
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$40.23
Resistance
$41.20
Bollinger %B
0.00
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$42.35
Below
EMA 21
$42.96
Below
EMA 50
$43.71
Below
EMA 200
$43.34
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
66
Growth
57
Profitability
24
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
291.6×
P/B Ratio
1.57×
PEG Ratio
-2.64
Dividend Yield
5.66%
52W High
$51.13
52W Low
$35.10
Quality & Growth
ROE
-152.9%
ROA
-53.7%
Gross Margin
5170.1%
Operating Margin
4885.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.33
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 291.6 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.6x; PEG ratio of -2.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -1.5%; Return on assets of -0.5%; Net margin of 3.0%; Gross margin of 51.7%; Current ratio of 6.37 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.33; Free cash flow per share is negative (-17.80); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 8.9%; EPS growth decelerating (+77.4% -> +38.2% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 85.4%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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