VNOM · NASDAQ · STOCK
Viper Energy (VNOM) Stock Analysis
$42.98
52W $35.10 – $51.13
55/100
$15.48B
307.1
0.29
Is VNOM Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Viper Energy (VNOM) Watch with a composite score of 55/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.23 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.77 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.38 across 8 articles, 14d). Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Dividend yield of 3.5% pays you to wait — Value
- Revenue growing 108.2% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.38 across 8 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 261.7 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- ROE of only 1.2% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- EPS declining -95.9% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Price structure (HH_HL) contradicts the downtrend -- mixed signals — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
55/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 75%
of 93 Energy peers
Value Analyst
neutral
44
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Dividend yield of 3.5% pays you to wait
− P/E of 261.7 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
neutral
47
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Revenue growing 108.2% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− EPS declining -95.9% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
49
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.38 across 8 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score strengthened from 51.6 to 54.8.
- Conviction changed from contested to moderate.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 50% to 60%.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Risk Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst abstained (was bearish at 35).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
65.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.242
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$42.63
Resistance
$43.67
Bollinger %B
0.69
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$41.71
Above
EMA 21
$41.99
Above
EMA 50
$42.75
Above
EMA 200
$43.20
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
66
Growth
57
Profitability
24
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
307.1×
P/B Ratio
1.65×
PEG Ratio
-2.78
Dividend Yield
5.70%
52W High
$51.13
52W Low
$35.10
Quality & Growth
ROE
-152.9%
ROA
-53.7%
Gross Margin
5170.1%
Operating Margin
4885.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.33
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 307.1 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.7x; PEG ratio of -2.8 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -1.5%; Return on assets of -0.5%; Net margin of 3.0%; Gross margin of 51.7%; Current ratio of 6.37 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.33; Free cash flow per share is positive (1.02); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 8.1%; EPS growth decelerating (+77.4% -> +38.2% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 85.4%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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