VOD · NASDAQ · STOCK
Vodafone Group Public (VOD) Stock Analysis
$15.56
52W $11.12 – $17.71
53/100
$35.83B
-71.0
0.33
Is VOD Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Vodafone Group Public Limited Company (VOD) Watch with a composite score of 53/100
, based on 5 analysts with 40% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +7.47 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -12.53 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.29 across 14 articles, 14d). Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 0.6x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Dividend yield of 10.8% pays you to wait — Value
- News sentiment is positive (+0.29 across 14 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- ROE of only -0.8% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- RSI at 28 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Price trading below the lower Bollinger Band -- stretched to the downside — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
53/100
Agreement
40%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 74%
of 55 Communication Services peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 0.6x is a discount to asset value
− ROE of only -0.8% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− RSI at 28 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup)
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
67
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.29 across 14 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 54.8 to 52.5.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Technical Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: stance neutral->bearish; score 48->38 (-10); +2 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
27.6
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.108
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$14.10
Resistance
$15.91
Bollinger %B
-0.06
Below Lower Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$16.40
Below
EMA 21
$16.54
Below
EMA 50
$16.32
Below
EMA 200
$14.99
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
57
Profitability
7
Financial Health
48
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-71.0×
P/B Ratio
0.64×
PEG Ratio
-0.93
Dividend Yield
3.36%
52W High
$17.71
52W Low
$11.12
Quality & Growth
ROE
-78.8%
ROA
-30.7%
Gross Margin
3146.2%
Operating Margin
858.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.04
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -71.0 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 0.6x; PEG ratio of -0.9 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -0.8%; Return on assets of -0.3%; Net margin of -1.0%; Gross margin of 31.5%; Current ratio of 1.07 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.04; Free cash flow per share is positive (3.69); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 40.8%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+11.1% -> -42.0% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 15.6%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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