WAB · NYSE · STOCK
Wabtec (WAB) Stock Analysis
$285.55
52W $186.06 – $306.64
60/100
$48.21B
38.3
0.92
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is WAB Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Wabtec (WAB) Buy with a composite score of 60/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +14.65 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -5.35 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.50 across 8 articles, 14d). Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- News sentiment is positive (+0.50 across 8 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 37.5 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
60/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 31%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− P/E of 37.5 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
74
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.50 across 8 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 59.8 to 60.4.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: score 70->74 (+3); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
47.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.350
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$253.80
Resistance
$305.96
Bollinger %B
0.49
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$286.31
Below
EMA 21
$286.63
Below
EMA 50
$285.40
Above
EMA 200
$264.19
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
21
Growth
63
Profitability
49
Financial Health
60
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
38.3×
P/B Ratio
4.30×
PEG Ratio
3.47
Dividend Yield
0.41%
52W High
$306.64
52W Low
$186.06
Quality & Growth
ROE
1050.1%
ROA
530.2%
Gross Margin
3433.2%
Operating Margin
1653.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.62
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 38.3 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.3x; PEG ratio of 3.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 10.5%; Return on assets of 5.3%; Net margin of 10.6%; Gross margin of 34.3%; Current ratio of 1.12 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.62; Free cash flow per share is positive (10.93); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 4.9%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+29.0% -> +1.8% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 21.6%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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