WCN · NYSE · STOCK
Waste Connections (WCN) Stock Analysis
$152.84
52W $146.89 – $179.74
54/100
$38.52B
36.9
0.48
Is WCN Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) Watch with a composite score of 54/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.89 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.11 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — eps growing 66.8% yoy. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- EPS growing 66.8% YoY — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.18 across 11 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 36.9 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 5.3x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Current ratio of 0.62 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
54/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 74%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 36.9 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 66.8% YoY
Technical Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.62 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
63
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.18 across 11 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 54.2 to 54.1.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
35.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.244
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$146.97
Resistance
$170.36
Bollinger %B
0.20
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$154.34
Below
EMA 21
$156.17
Below
EMA 50
$159.57
Below
EMA 200
$164.66
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
53
Growth
81
Profitability
55
Financial Health
32
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
36.9×
P/B Ratio
4.93×
PEG Ratio
0.55
Dividend Yield
0.92%
52W High
$179.74
52W Low
$146.89
Quality & Growth
ROE
1312.9%
ROA
509.0%
Gross Margin
3922.2%
Operating Margin
1708.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.21
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 36.9 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.9x; PEG ratio of 0.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 13.1%; Return on assets of 5.1%; Net margin of 10.9%; Gross margin of 39.2%; Current ratio of 0.67 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.21; Free cash flow per share is positive (7.11); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 9.5%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-4.7% -> +22.0% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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