YPF · NYSE · STOCK
YPF Sociedad Anónima
$49.20
52W $22.82 – $57.49
53/100
$19.27B
-54.0
-0.07
Is YPF Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF) Watch with a composite score of 53/100
, based on 6 analysts with 33% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +7.43 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -12.57 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Risk Analyst remains cautious — current ratio of 0.87 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.4x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- ROE of only -7.0% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Current ratio of 0.87 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
- News sentiment is negative (-0.33 across 3 articles, 14d) — News
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
53/100
Agreement
33%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 88%
of 90 Energy peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 1.4x is a discount to asset value
− ROE of only -7.0% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · Low confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.87 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
neutral
47
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
− News sentiment is negative (-0.33 across 3 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
44.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.215
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$44.03
Resistance
$57.47
Bollinger %B
0.23
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$50.02
Below
EMA 21
$50.01
Below
EMA 50
$49.21
Below
EMA 200
$43.22
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
98
Profitability
6
Financial Health
45
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-54.0×
P/B Ratio
1.93×
PEG Ratio
0.59
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$57.49
52W Low
$22.82
Quality & Growth
ROE
-763.8%
ROA
-280.6%
Gross Margin
2893.5%
Operating Margin
1267.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.95
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of -54.0 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.9x; PEG ratio of 0.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -7.6%; Return on assets of -2.8%; Net margin of -2.2%; Gross margin of 28.9%; Current ratio of 0.94 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.95; Free cash flow per share is positive (279.01); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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