YPF · NYSE · STOCK
YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF) Stock Analysis
$50.03
52W $24.00 – $57.87
55/100
$19.62B
-50.2
-0.07
Is YPF Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF) Watch with a composite score of 55/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.14 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.86 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.4x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Revenue growing 90.8% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
Bear Case
- P/E of 27.3 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- EPS declining -98.8% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Current ratio of 0.87 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
- Bollinger bandwidth of 18.8% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
55/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 74%
of 93 Energy peers
Value Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ Price-to-book of 1.4x is a discount to asset value
− P/E of 27.3 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
63
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 90.8% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− EPS declining -98.8% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.87 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 54.9 to 54.9.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
39.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.340
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$48.03
Resistance
$53.48
Bollinger %B
0.27
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$50.53
Below
EMA 21
$51.45
Below
EMA 50
$51.44
Below
EMA 200
$46.25
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
99
Growth
33
Profitability
6
Financial Health
47
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-50.2×
P/B Ratio
1.69×
PEG Ratio
0.56
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$57.87
52W Low
$24.00
Quality & Growth
ROE
-763.8%
ROA
-280.6%
Gross Margin
3002.4%
Operating Margin
1386.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.86
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -50.2 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.7x; PEG ratio of 0.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -7.6%; Return on assets of -2.8%; Net margin of -3.1%; Gross margin of 30.0%; Current ratio of 0.93 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.86; Free cash flow per share is positive (782.51); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 30.7%; EPS growth accelerating (-1479.1% -> +118.4% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -22.5%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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