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Z · NASDAQ · STOCK

Zillow Group (Z) Stock Analysis

Communication Services Updated October 10, 2026
$29.02
52W $26.67 – $79.40
53/100
$6.97B
127.8
2.04
AI Committee Verdict
Watch
53/100
Conviction: High · 83% agreement · 6 analysts
+28.9%
High

Is Z Bullish or Bearish?

Mixed. Innellis AI committee rates Zillow Group, Inc. Class C (Z) Watch with a composite score of 53/100 , based on 6 analysts with 83% agreement. Last updated October 10, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Buy
Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +6.62 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Reduce
Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -13.38 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
  • Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
  • Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.07) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
Bear Case
  • P/E of 113.8 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
  • ROE of only 1.2% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
  • Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
  • Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
  • Price structure (HH_HL) contradicts the downtrend -- mixed signals — Technical
  • Bollinger bandwidth of 25.4% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
53/100
Agreement
83%
Analysts
6
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 70%
of 55 Communication Services peers
Value Analyst neutral
44 / 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− P/E of 113.8 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst neutral
50 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst neutral
53 / 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst neutral
58 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.07) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 25.4% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst bullish
65 / 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst neutral
51 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
− News sentiment is negative (-0.20 across 17 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager bearish
30 / 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
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Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score moved marginally from 53.4 to 53.4.

Analyst-level changes:
  • News Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
  • Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
  • Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).

Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
54.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.217
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Bollinger %B
0.49
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$28.30 Above
EMA 21
$29.30 Below
EMA 50
$31.29 Below
EMA 200
$42.00 Below

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
66
Growth
58
Profitability
29
Financial Health
97
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio 127.8×
P/B Ratio 1.58×
PEG Ratio 0.15
Dividend Yield 0.00%
52W High $79.40
52W Low $26.67
Quality & Growth
ROE 47.1%
ROA 40.5%
Gross Margin 7288.3%
Operating Margin 42.7%
Revenue Growth YoY —
Debt / Equity 0.13
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 127.8 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.6x; PEG ratio of 0.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.5%; Return on assets of 0.4%; Net margin of 2.0%; Gross margin of 72.9%; Current ratio of 1.92 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.13; Free cash flow per share is positive (1.16); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 13.1%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+35.9% -> -1.9% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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