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Axcelis Technologies, Inc.

Technology Updated August 11, 2026
$135.31
52W $73.60 – $193.78
53/100
$4.16B
45.1
1.88
AI Committee Verdict
Watch
53/100
Conviction: Contested · 67% agreement · 6 analysts
Contested

Is ACLS Bullish or Bearish?

Mixed. Innellis AI committee rates Axcelis Technologies, Inc. (ACLS) Watch with a composite score of 53/100 , based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement. Last updated August 11, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Buy
Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +7.22 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Reduce
Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -12.78 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Growth Analyst remains cautious — revenue declining -11.8% yoy -- this is not a growth story right now. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
  • Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.04) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
  • VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
  • Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
  • Beta of 1.87 means this name should amplify a favorable market regime — Macro
Bear Case
  • P/E of 40.5 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
  • Revenue declining -11.8% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
  • EPS declining -41.1% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
  • Bollinger bandwidth of 24.4% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
53/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 90%
of 284 Technology peers
Value Analyst neutral
48 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− P/E of 40.5 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst bearish
18 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Revenue declining -11.8% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst neutral
58 / 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst neutral
58 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.04) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 24.4% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst bullish
78 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst neutral
58 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager neutral
55 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
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Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
50.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
1.698
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$80.16
Resistance
$171.58
Bollinger %B
0.54
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$134.47 Above
EMA 21
$136.84 Below
EMA 50
$142.02 Below
EMA 200
$120.12 Above

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
54
Profitability
64
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio 45.1×
P/B Ratio 3.91×
PEG Ratio -1.16
Dividend Yield 0.00%
52W High $193.78
52W Low $73.60
Quality & Growth
ROE 1162.1%
ROA 883.2%
Gross Margin 4301.1%
Operating Margin 1032.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
Debt / Equity 0.04
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 45.1 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.9x; PEG ratio of -1.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 11.6%; Return on assets of 8.8%; Net margin of 10.7%; Gross margin of 43.0%; Current ratio of 4.90 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.04; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.13); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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