NVDA · NASDAQ · STOCK
NVIDIA (NVDA) Stock Analysis
$214.74
52W $164.07 – $236.54
56/100
$5.20T
32.7
2.21
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is NVDA Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) Buy with a composite score of 56/100
, based on 5 analysts with 40% agreement.
Last updated August 23, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +19.31 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -0.69 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 21.3% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 21.3% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 23, 2026
Overall Committee Score
56/100
Agreement
40%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 67%
of 287 Technology peers
Growth Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 21.3% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3069.37)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score weakened from 61.4 to 55.7.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 50% to 40%.
- Bullish support removed: 4 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Growth Analyst, Risk Analyst.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 71->58 (-14).
- Risk Analyst: stance neutral->bearish; score 58->35 (-22).
- Value Analyst abstained (was neutral at 54).
Comparing 2026-08-22 to 2026-08-23 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
43.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.474
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$194.74
Resistance
$232.28
Bollinger %B
0.53
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$218.31
Below
EMA 21
$215.09
Below
EMA 50
$210.66
Above
EMA 200
$202.69
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
43
Growth
73
Profitability
100
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
32.7×
P/B Ratio
26.68×
PEG Ratio
0.30
Dividend Yield
0.13%
52W High
$236.54
52W Low
$164.07
Quality & Growth
ROE
7633.3%
ROA
5805.9%
Gross Margin
7414.5%
Operating Margin
6402.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.07
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 32.7 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 26.7x; PEG ratio of 0.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 76.3%; Return on assets of 58.1%; Net margin of 63.0%; Gross margin of 74.1%; Current ratio of 3.44 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.07; Free cash flow per share is positive (4.90); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 4.3%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+24.6% -> +15.4% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 133.0%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Get the Full NVDA Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →