NVDA · NASDAQ · STOCK
NVIDIA (NVDA) Stock Analysis
$217.20
52W $164.27 – $243.37
67/100
$5.46T
28.5
2.22
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is NVDA Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) Buy with a composite score of 67/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated October 14, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +7.76 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -12.24 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — revenue growing 83.4% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 110.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Revenue growing 83.4% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- EPS growing 125.2% YoY — Growth
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 28.1 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 28.8x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 14, 2026
Overall Committee Score
67/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 1%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 110.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 28.1 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
84
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 83.4% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.05) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score weakened from 70.5 to 67.2.
- Conviction changed from high to moderate.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 83% to 67%.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: News Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: score 80->65 (-15).
- News Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 64->60 (-4).
- Portfolio Manager: score 30->35 (+5).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-13 to 2026-10-14 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
33.3
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-1.250
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$194.74
Resistance
$232.28
Bollinger %B
0.17
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$228.63
Below
EMA 21
$227.65
Below
EMA 50
$222.65
Below
EMA 200
$209.51
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
49
Growth
80
Profitability
100
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
28.5×
P/B Ratio
23.91×
PEG Ratio
0.23
Dividend Yield
0.23%
52W High
$243.37
52W Low
$164.27
Quality & Growth
ROE
7633.3%
ROA
5805.9%
Gross Margin
7467.5%
Operating Margin
6521.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.17
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 28.5 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 23.9x; PEG ratio of 0.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 76.3%; Return on assets of 58.1%; Net margin of 63.7%; Gross margin of 74.7%; Current ratio of 4.59 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.17; Free cash flow per share is positive (5.25); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 3.8%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+15.4% -> +18.7% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 132.6%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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