ADBE · NASDAQ · STOCK
Adobe (ADBE) Stock Analysis
$242.21
52W $190.12 – $363.70
59/100
$96.30B
13.5
1.42
Is ADBE Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Adobe Inc. (ADBE) Buy with a composite score of 59/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +16.42 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -3.58 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — quarter-over-quarter growth rate is accelerating, not just positive. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 12.9 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 62.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 11.5x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Price structure (HH_HL) contradicts the downtrend -- mixed signals — Technical
- Current ratio of 1.00 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
59/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 51%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 12.9 is inexpensive for the broad market
− Price-to-book of 11.5x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
75
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
neutral
53
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 1.00 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 58.6 to 58.6.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
52.3
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.658
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$224.15
Resistance
$275.37
Bollinger %B
0.49
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$239.35
Above
EMA 21
$244.03
Below
EMA 50
$248.58
Below
EMA 200
$266.74
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
64
Growth
61
Profitability
100
Financial Health
48
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
13.5×
P/B Ratio
8.13×
PEG Ratio
1.17
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$363.70
52W Low
$190.12
Quality & Growth
ROE
6134.4%
ROA
2417.3%
Gross Margin
8909.9%
Operating Margin
3569.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.57
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 13.5 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 8.1x; PEG ratio of 1.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 61.3%; Return on assets of 24.2%; Net margin of 28.0%; Gross margin of 89.1%; Current ratio of 0.77 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.57; Free cash flow per share is positive (27.69); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 1.3%; EPS growth accelerating (-1.7% -> +2.9% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 15.4%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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