NASDAQ · STOCK
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.
$252.50
52W $190.75 – $318.34
66/100
$65.30B
40.7
0.51
Price History (6M)
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Executive Summary
5 analysts weighed in with 60% agreement on a bullish lean. Growth Analyst: Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive. Risk Analyst: Bollinger bandwidth of 26.6% signals elevated volatility. Overall recommendation: BUY.
Executive Summary
5 analysts weighed in with 60% agreement on a bullish lean. Growth Analyst: Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive. Risk Analyst: Bollinger bandwidth of 26.6% signals elevated volatility. Overall recommendation: BUY.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- RSI at or above 70 signals overbought conditions — bearish entry bias.
- Positive MACD histogram signals bullish momentum.
- Higher Highs / Higher Lows structure confirms bullish price action.
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- RSI is overbought at 85.2 — momentum may be exhausted.
- Stochastic RSI (93.6) confirms overbought conditions.
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 6.6% downside vs 3.9% upside.
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 07, 2026
Overall Committee Score
66/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Growth Analyst
bullish
85
/ 100 · Low confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− RSI at 85 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 26.6% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 16 articles, 14d)
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
85.2
Overbought
MACD Histogram
3.845
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$239.74
Resistance
$266.64
Bollinger %B
0.99
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$242.15
Above
EMA 21
$229.97
Above
EMA 50
$220.99
Above
EMA 200
$238.13
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
40
Growth
59
Profitability
44
Financial Health
59
Valuation
P/E Ratio
40.7×
P/B Ratio
2.85×
PEG Ratio
—
Dividend Yield
1.10%
52W High
$318.34
52W Low
$190.75
Quality & Growth
ROE
691.0%
ROA
209.0%
Gross Margin
4593.0%
Operating Margin
1874.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
+2450.0%
Debt / Equity
0.56
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 40.7 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.8x; Revenue growth (YoY) of 24.5%; EPS growth (YoY) of -4.7%; Return on equity of 6.9%; Return on assets of 2.1%; Net margin of 10.8%; Gross margin of 45.9%; Current ratio of 1.06 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.56; Most recent quarter missed estimates by 0.0%; EPS growth accelerating (+2.6% -> +87.8% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Key Risks
- RSI is overbought at 85.2 — momentum may be exhausted.
- Stochastic RSI (93.6) confirms overbought conditions.
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 6.6% downside vs 3.9% upside.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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