VCTR · NASDAQ · STOCK
Victory Capital Holdings (VCTR) Stock Analysis
$112.40
52W $57.03 – $123.55
72/100
$7.03B
20.5
1.13
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is VCTR Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. (VCTR) Buy with a composite score of 72/100
, based on 6 analysts with 100% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +3.07 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -16.93 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — revenue growing 51.5% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 19.3% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Revenue growing 51.5% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- EPS growing 68.3% YoY — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 27.5% downside vs 9.6% upside.
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
72/100
Agreement
100%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Unanimous
Sector Rank
Top 0%
of 211 Financial Services peers
Value Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ ROE of 19.3% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
Growth Analyst
bullish
85
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 51.5% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
Technical Analyst
bullish
69
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Risk Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.62 across 8 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 71.2 to 71.9.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: score 74->78 (+4); +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
56.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.410
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$81.46
Resistance
$123.24
Bollinger %B
0.74
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$111.85
Above
EMA 21
$110.92
Above
EMA 50
$108.31
Above
EMA 200
$91.05
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
85
Growth
82
Profitability
86
Financial Health
85
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
20.5×
P/B Ratio
2.94×
PEG Ratio
0.61
Dividend Yield
1.76%
52W High
$123.55
52W Low
$57.03
Quality & Growth
ROE
1361.2%
ROA
777.0%
Gross Margin
7106.7%
Operating Margin
4745.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.43
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 20.5 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.9x; PEG ratio of 0.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 13.6%; Return on assets of 7.8%; Net margin of 29.6%; Gross margin of 71.1%; Current ratio of 1.65 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.43; Free cash flow per share is positive (9.06); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 20.7%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+1.8% -> +30.8% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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