VCTR · NASDAQ · STOCK
Victory Capital Holdings, Inc.
$113.69
52W $57.03 – $114.68
66/100
$7.11B
20.7
1.09
Is VCTR Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. (VCTR) Buy with a composite score of 66/100
, based on 6 analysts with 83% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +8.59 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -11.41 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — revenue growing 51.5% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 19.8% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 14.5 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 19.3% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Revenue growing 51.5% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- EPS growing 68.3% YoY — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- RSI at 81 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Price trading above the upper Bollinger Band -- stretched — Technical
- Weekly RSI at 87 -- overbought on the larger timeframe too — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 19.8% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
66/100
Agreement
83%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 34%
of 209 Financial Services peers
Value Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 14.5 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
bullish
85
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 51.5% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− RSI at 81 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 19.8% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.38 across 8 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
80.6
Overbought
MACD Histogram
1.069
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Bollinger %B
1.12
Above Upper Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$106.27
Above
EMA 21
$101.31
Above
EMA 50
$94.47
Above
EMA 200
$80.01
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
85
Profitability
86
Financial Health
85
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
20.7×
P/B Ratio
2.97×
PEG Ratio
0.62
Dividend Yield
1.73%
52W High
$114.68
52W Low
$57.03
Quality & Growth
ROE
1361.2%
ROA
777.0%
Gross Margin
7106.7%
Operating Margin
4745.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.43
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 20.7 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.0x; PEG ratio of 0.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 13.6%; Return on assets of 7.8%; Net margin of 29.6%; Gross margin of 71.1%; Current ratio of 1.65 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.43; Free cash flow per share is positive (9.06); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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