ALAB · NASDAQ · STOCK
Astera Labs
$334.03
52W $97.89 – $499.48
63/100
$57.28B
154.0
3.67
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is ALAB Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Astera Labs (ALAB) Buy with a composite score of 63/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated August 08, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +12.00 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -8.00 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
Positive signals support the current rating — revenue growing 98.5% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. The committee sees sufficient evidence to maintain the constructive view.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 25.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Revenue growing 98.5% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- EPS growing 254.9% YoY — Growth
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 156.9 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 20.6x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Bollinger bandwidth of 39.0% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 08, 2026
Overall Committee Score
63/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 17%
of 172 Technology peers
Value Analyst
neutral
49
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 25.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 156.9 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bullish
84
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 98.5% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 39.0% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 4 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 61.5 to 63.0.
- Conviction changed from contested to moderate.
- Committee agreement increased modestly from 60% to 67%.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 5 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: News Analyst, Risk Analyst.
- New analyst(s) joined: Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: +2 bullish signal(s).
- Macro Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: stance bullish->neutral.
- Risk Analyst: stance bearish->neutral; score 35->58 (+22); +1 bearish signal(s); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Value Analyst joined: neutral at 49.
Comparing 2026-08-07 to 2026-08-08 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
54.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
4.721
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$131.52
Resistance
$498.84
Bollinger %B
0.64
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$321.85
Above
EMA 21
$328.02
Above
EMA 50
$325.41
Above
EMA 200
$238.57
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
33
Growth
95
Profitability
95
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
154.0×
P/B Ratio
33.22×
PEG Ratio
0.59
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$499.48
52W Low
$97.89
Quality & Growth
ROE
1607.0%
ROA
1430.5%
Gross Margin
7512.9%
Operating Margin
2275.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.00
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 154.0 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 33.2x; PEG ratio of 0.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 16.1%; Return on assets of 14.3%; Net margin of 30.7%; Gross margin of 75.1%; Current ratio of 10.05 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.00; Free cash flow per share is positive (1.61); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 13.5%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+5.2% -> +31.1% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 81.8%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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