URBN · NASDAQ · STOCK
Urban Outfitters (URBN) Stock Analysis
$77.09
52W $59.54 – $85.43
70/100
$6.50B
11.7
1.26
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is URBN Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Urban Outfitters, Inc. (URBN) Buy with a composite score of 70/100
, based on 6 analysts with 100% agreement.
Last updated September 17, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +5.24 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -14.76 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock. The main limiting factor is sector concentration is already high (hhi 2514.55). The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 11.8 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 20.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 25.4% YoY — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
Bear Case
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 17, 2026
Overall Committee Score
70/100
Agreement
100%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Unanimous
Sector Rank
Top 0%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 11.8 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 25.4% YoY
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 24 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2514.55)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 69.8 to 69.8.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-09-16 to 2026-09-17 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
41.3
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.489
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$65.75
Resistance
$76.88
Bollinger %B
0.34
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$77.71
Below
EMA 21
$77.70
Below
EMA 50
$76.22
Above
EMA 200
$72.21
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
96
Growth
61
Profitability
66
Financial Health
83
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
11.7×
P/B Ratio
2.28×
PEG Ratio
0.47
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$85.43
52W Low
$59.54
Quality & Growth
ROE
1651.4%
ROA
928.4%
Gross Margin
3751.1%
Operating Margin
1132.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.43
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 11.7 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.3x; PEG ratio of 0.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 16.5%; Return on assets of 9.3%; Net margin of 8.8%; Gross margin of 37.5%; Current ratio of 1.58 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.43; Free cash flow per share is positive (3.45); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 2.5%; EPS growth accelerating (+23.8% -> +32.3% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 8.9%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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