URBN · NASDAQ · STOCK
Urban Outfitters, Inc.
$79.46
52W $59.54 – $84.35
66/100
$6.80B
15.0
1.25
Is URBN Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Urban Outfitters, Inc. (URBN) Buy with a composite score of 66/100
, based on 6 analysts with 83% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +8.54 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -11.46 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. The main limiting factor is bollinger bandwidth of 15.2% signals elevated volatility. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 13.9 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 17.6% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
Bear Case
- Bollinger bandwidth of 15.2% signals elevated volatility — Risk
- No news coverage in the last 14 days -- limited independent confirmation either way — News
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
66/100
Agreement
83%
Analysts
6
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 12%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 13.9 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
Technical Analyst
bullish
69
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 15.2% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
− No news coverage in the last 14 days -- limited independent confirmation either way
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
67.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.498
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$65.75
Resistance
$80.71
Bollinger %B
0.87
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$77.51
Above
EMA 21
$75.55
Above
EMA 50
$73.64
Above
EMA 200
$70.72
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
82
Profitability
63
Financial Health
78
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
15.0×
P/B Ratio
2.66×
PEG Ratio
1.70
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$84.35
52W Low
$59.54
Quality & Growth
ROE
1651.4%
ROA
928.4%
Gross Margin
3598.5%
Operating Margin
980.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.46
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 15.0 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.7x; PEG ratio of 1.7 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 16.5%; Return on assets of 9.3%; Net margin of 7.5%; Gross margin of 36.0%; Current ratio of 1.48 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.46; Free cash flow per share is positive (3.21); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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