AMD · NASDAQ · STOCK
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Stock Analysis
$473.20
52W $149.22 – $584.73
60/100
$771.68B
120.1
2.49
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is AMD Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Buy with a composite score of 60/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 23, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +15.24 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -4.76 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — revenue growing 39.5% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. Value Analyst remains cautious — p/e of 123.3 is expensive by classic value standards. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Revenue growing 39.5% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- EPS growing 124.3% YoY — Growth
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.05) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 211 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 123.3 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 5.6x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 17.1% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 23, 2026
Overall Committee Score
60/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 35%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 123.3 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bullish
84
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 39.5% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.05) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 17.1% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 211 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3069.37)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 59.8 to 59.8.
Comparing 2026-08-22 to 2026-08-23 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
43.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.854
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$194.34
Resistance
$584.62
Bollinger %B
0.40
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$480.92
Below
EMA 21
$488.54
Below
EMA 50
$485.57
Below
EMA 200
$364.07
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
33
Growth
89
Profitability
63
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
120.1×
P/B Ratio
11.48×
PEG Ratio
0.97
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$584.73
52W Low
$149.22
Quality & Growth
ROE
688.1%
ROA
563.5%
Gross Margin
5320.4%
Operating Margin
1570.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.06
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 120.1 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 11.5x; PEG ratio of 1.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 6.9%; Return on assets of 5.6%; Net margin of 15.6%; Gross margin of 53.2%; Current ratio of 2.61 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.06; Free cash flow per share is positive (5.15); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 1.8%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-10.5% -> +21.2% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 245.8%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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