APLD · NASDAQ · STOCK
Applied Digital Corp.
$29.70
52W $13.16 – $50.73
57/100
$8.55B
-33.4
5.77
Is APLD Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Applied Digital Corp. (APLD) Watch with a composite score of 57/100
, based on 6 analysts with 33% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +3.28 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -16.72 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — revenue growing 364.9% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. Value Analyst remains cautious — price-to-book of 7.7x prices in significant intangible value. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Revenue growing 364.9% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- Beta of 6.04 means this name should amplify a favorable market regime — Macro
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 7.7x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- ROE of only -16.0% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 2.83 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 2.83) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
- Bollinger bandwidth of 27.2% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
57/100
Agreement
33%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 72%
of 284 Technology peers
Value Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− Price-to-book of 7.7x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
85
/ 100 · Low confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 364.9% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 2.83) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
54.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.687
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$20.00
Resistance
$40.15
Bollinger %B
0.69
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$29.05
Above
EMA 21
$29.68
Above
EMA 50
$32.58
Below
EMA 200
$30.92
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
79
Profitability
1
Financial Health
50
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-33.4×
P/B Ratio
4.76×
PEG Ratio
1.26
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$50.73
52W Low
$13.16
Quality & Growth
ROE
-1370.6%
ROA
-245.7%
Gross Margin
2238.3%
Operating Margin
-3375.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
2.86
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of -33.4 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.8x; PEG ratio of 1.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -13.7%; Return on assets of -2.5%; Net margin of -42.3%; Gross margin of 22.4%; Current ratio of 4.01 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 2.86; Free cash flow per share is negative (-9.72); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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